
Volume
$170K
Txns
2,709
Traders
486
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 31, 2025
On June 13, Iranian leaders announced they no longer plan to engage in nuclear talks with the U.S. that were scheduled to take place in Oman on Sunday (see: https://thehill.com/policy/international/5348689-iran-nuclear-deal-talks-suspended/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that official nuclear-related negotiations between the United States and Iran resume at any point on by August 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the talks must involve official representatives of both governments and focus primarily on nuclear issues, such as uranium enrichment, sanctions relief, IAEA inspections, or the JCPOA. Talks may be direct or mediated, and may occur in person or virtually. Only the actual resumption of talks will count; announcements that talks have been scheduled to resume will not alone qualify. Unofficial backchannel communications, general diplomatic meetings not centered on nuclear issues, or one-sided public proposals will not qualify. The market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 94%$73.1Mvolume
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
No 63%$286Kvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Yes 77%$2.27Mvolume
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
No 70%$1.14Mvolume
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 94%$34.3Mvolume
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
No 97%$1.24Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9mo | ScottyNooo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +116.01 | $0.12 | |
| 9mo | 00000000AAAAAAAA | Yes / 0.1¢ | -200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 9mo | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +83.99 | $0.08 | |
| 9mo | simulacrum3 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -94.99 | $0.09 | |
| 9mo | ScottyNooo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +94.99 | $0.09 | |
| 9mo | allenalexis | No / 99.9¢ | +11.25 | $11.2 | |
| 9mo | ScottyNooo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +11.25 | $0.01 | |
| 9mo | babylol | No / 99.9¢ | +20.02 | $20 | |
| 9mo | ScottyNooo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.02 | $0.02 | |
| 9mo | Alibaba54 | No / 99.9¢ | +40.04 | $40 | |
| 9mo | ScottyNooo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.04 | $0.04 | |
| 9mo | ScottyNooo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.48 | $0.01 | |
| 9mo | jeffrey95 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.48 | $10.5 | |
| 9mo | hfitzpatrick | No / 99.9¢ | +10.39 | $10.4 | |
| 9mo | ScottyNooo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.39 | $0.01 | |
| 9mo | turybn998 | No / 99.9¢ | +6.01 | $6 | |
| 9mo | ScottyNooo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.01 | $0.01 | |
| 9mo | ScottyNooo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +87.44 | $0.09 | |
| 9mo | gpt-new | Yes / 0.1¢ | -87.44 | $0.09 | |
| 9mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +70.00 | $0.07 | |
| 9mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +183.00 | $0.18 | |
| 9mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.00 | $0.01 | |
| 9mo | ScottyNooo | No / 99.9¢ | +5,551.39 | $5.55K | |
| 9mo | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 9mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,464.00 | $1.46 |
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