
Volume
$2K
Txns
28
Traders
12
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 14, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Syrian soil or any official Syrian embassy or consulate by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Syrian ground territory or any official Syrian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Syrian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Syrian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | IRanIchTeam | No / 0.7¢ | -142.86 | $1 | |
| 5mo | stupefly79 | No / 0.7¢ | +142.86 | $1 | |
| 5mo | mountaingreen | No / 2.0¢ | +9.44 | $0.19 | |
| 5mo | tiancs | No / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | rocketcrypto | No / 1.0¢ | +15.00 | $0.15 | |
| 5mo | t189 | No / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | .jeet | Yes / 98.9¢ | +231.00 | $229 | |
| 5mo | mountaingreen | No / 2.0¢ | +6.56 | $0.13 | |
| 5mo | hesure | No / 3.0¢ | +16.00 | $0.48 | |
| 5mo | Robbb | Yes / 96.9¢ | +17.01 | $16.5 | |
| 5mo | mountaingreen | No / 4.0¢ | +1.01 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | 0x588a...7baeeb | Yes / 96.0¢ | +5.03 | $4.83 | |
| 5mo | mountaingreen | No / 4.0¢ | +5.03 | $0.2 | |
| 5mo | M888 | Yes / 95.0¢ | +305.34 | $290 | |
| 5mo | IRanIchTeam | No / 5.0¢ | +300.00 | $15 | |
| 5mo | mountaingreen | No / 6.0¢ | +5.34 | $0.32 | |
| 5mo | .jeet | Yes / 85.6¢ | +340.00 | $291 | |
| 5mo | sezo.eth | No / 13.0¢ | +100.00 | $13 | |
| 5mo | sezo.eth | No / 15.0¢ | +80.00 | $12 | |
| 5mo | sezo.eth | No / 16.0¢ | +70.00 | $11.2 | |
| 5mo | sezo.eth | No / 14.0¢ | +90.00 | $12.6 |
1–21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 86%$25.6Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$4.76Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 68%$25Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 80%$19.6Mvolume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 82%$37.6Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 91%$2.33Mvolume