
Volume
$71K
Txns
826
Traders
228
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$19,395
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes 96%$63.6Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 97%$35.7Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 76%$24.7Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$69.1Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$9.5Mvolume
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Yes 100%$1.81Mvolume
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