
Volume
$180K
Txns
1,602
Traders
453
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$19,005
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
No 90%$0volume
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
No 99%$0volume
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 82%$0volume
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
No 73%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | NinarRama | No / 96.0¢ | -7.69 | $7.38 | |
| 1d | A-some | Yes / 4.0¢ | -7.69 | $0.31 | |
| 3d | 0x61f2FB3BAE210403381409E565D784D97818e77a-1780457954065 | No / 95.0¢ | -10.00 | $9.5 | |
| 3d | goodnamer | No / 95.0¢ | -50.38 | $47.9 | |
| 3d | Sergilaska | No / 95.0¢ | -44.85 | $42.6 | |
| 3d | DFK | No / 95.0¢ | +105.23 | $100 | |
| 9d | Ox359449186AafB044680CeF3BBe2aB4FAba702599 | No / 93.0¢ | -2.00 | $1.86 | |
| 9d | Sergilaska | No / 93.0¢ | +2.00 | $1.86 | |
| 10d | Cryptoflanders | Yes / 7.0¢ | +42.86 | $3 | |
| 10d | Sergilaska | No / 93.0¢ | +42.86 | $39.9 | |
| 12d | 0xaF05465D8f88a8Aad0BD916d23fA781BaA8a33E2-1781769499788 | No / 94.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.7 | |
| 12d | PPMT | No / 94.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.7 | |
| 12d | NinarRama | No / 93.0¢ | +3.39 | $3.15 | |
| 12d | kioljaq | No / 94.0¢ | +29.00 | $27.3 | |
| 12d | bigbiba | Yes / 6.0¢ | +82.77 | $5 | |
| 12d | goodnamer | No / 94.0¢ | +50.38 | $47.4 | |
| 14d | HARIRA-SOUP | No / 93.0¢ | -22.16 | $20.6 | |
| 14d | NinarRama | No / 93.0¢ | +14.00 | $13 | |
| 14d | 0x5533...8251ba | Yes / 7.0¢ | -8.16 | $0.57 | |
| 14d | 0x61f2FB3BAE210403381409E565D784D97818e77a-1780457954065 | No / 94.0¢ | +10.00 | $9.4 | |
| 14d | PPMT | No / 94.0¢ | -10.00 | $9.4 | |
| 15d | 0x00cDEa4d807710807cdBC54AD34cFAFCd992c0aE-1782010404295 | No / 96.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.8 | |
| 15d | MANUGS | Yes / 4.9¢ | -14.28 | $0.7 | |
| 15d | PPMT | No / 96.0¢ | -0.57 | $0.55 | |
| 15d | 0xd10A59fCC18955EeAebd06D1234Cc3BD1e3fB9cD-1782111984332 | No / 94.0¢ | -3.71 | $3.49 |
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