
Volume
$415K
Txns
3,084
Traders
480
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States initiates a military action on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory between October 22, 2024, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the U.S. on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Yemeni soil is subject to an U.S. missile strike, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | LBZcapital | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,234.67 | $3.23K | |
| 1y | 0xF95E582F076231a0793487B076CfA8b7 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -3,257.09 | $3.25K | |
| 1y | gaffy3r | No / 0.1¢ | -22.42 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | SASASSA2 | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | gaffy3r | No / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Mooodi3 | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | gaffy3r | No / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | gaffy3r | No / 0.1¢ | -17.56 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | UnknownTrader | Yes / 99.9¢ | -17.56 | $17.5 | |
| 1y | debased | No / 0.1¢ | +3,333.00 | $3.33 | |
| 1y | Hamsteron | Yes / 99.9¢ | -103.55 | $103 | |
| 1y | Shekel | No / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 1y | debased | No / 0.1¢ | +1,111.00 | $1.11 | |
| 1y | LBZcapital | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5,047.55 | $5.04K | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.2¢ | +2,146.45 | $4.29 | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +2,146.45 | $2.14K | |
| 1y | Hamsteron | Yes / 99.8¢ | +103.55 | $103 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.2¢ | +103.55 | $0.21 | |
| 1y | LBZcapital | Yes / 99.8¢ | +1,000.00 | $998 | |
| 1y | Shekel | No / 0.2¢ | +1,000.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | LBZcapital | Yes / 99.7¢ | +8,352.08 | $8.33K | |
| 1y | Skaliz | No / 0.3¢ | +7,592.08 | $22.8 | |
| 1y | Shekel | No / 0.3¢ | +500.00 | $1.5 | |
| 1y | Twizzler | No / 0.4¢ | +5.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | Kutra | Yes / 99.5¢ | -250.00 | $249 |
1–25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 77%$0volume
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 79%$0volume
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
No 97%$0volume
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
No 98%$0volume
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
No 94%$0volume
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
No 99%$0volume