
Volume
$1M
Txns
10,394
Traders
2,124
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran between June 10, and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Trades
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 94%$76.7Mvolume
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
No 88%$87.2Kvolume
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China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No 92%$2.6Mvolume
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?
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Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
No 98%$437Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10mo | Funfzig | No / 99.7¢ | +50.83 | $50.7 | |
| 10mo | eatherly | No / 99.7¢ | -50.83 | $50.7 | |
| 10mo | elmcap2 | No / 99.9¢ | +221.97 | $222 | |
| 10mo | Funfzig | Yes / 0.1¢ | +215.97 | $0.22 | |
| 10mo | ratue | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x4e25...5cd7a7 | No / 99.7¢ | +20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 10mo | shizizuo9o | No / 99.7¢ | -20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 10mo | jonhsina | No / 99.9¢ | +2.00 | $2 | |
| 10mo | Funfzig | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.00 | $0 | |
| 10mo | romov | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | Funfzig | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 10mo | Funfzig | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3.00 | $0 | |
| 10mo | minor-777 | No / 99.9¢ | +3.00 | $3 | |
| 10mo | manochartino | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | LBZero | Yes / 0.1¢ | +201.00 | $0.2 | |
| 10mo | hohgityu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | Funfzig | No / 99.9¢ | +3,458.47 | $3.46K | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +38.00 | $0.04 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x4e25...5cd7a7 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +225.00 | $0.23 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 |
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