
Volume
$164K
Txns
1,657
Traders
380
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. consulate (consulate general) in Guadalajara, Mexico, or a full evacuation of the consulate is otherwise confirmed by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the consulate.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | ggmggn | No / 99.9¢ | +387.45 | $387 | |
| 3mo | 300PS | No / 99.9¢ | -387.45 | $387 | |
| 3mo | L.X | No / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 3mo | 300PS | No / 99.9¢ | -10.01 | $10 | |
| 3mo | 300PS | No / 99.9¢ | -5.88 | $5.87 | |
| 3mo | JusDuB | No / 99.9¢ | +5.88 | $5.87 | |
| 3mo | FitzGerald-730 | No / 99.8¢ | -5.60 | $5.59 | |
| 3mo | bondibeach | No / 99.8¢ | +5.60 | $5.59 | |
| 3mo | FitzGerald-730 | No / 99.9¢ | +6.68 | $6.67 | |
| 3mo | 300PS | No / 99.9¢ | -6.68 | $6.67 | |
| 3mo | san333 | No / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 3mo | 300PS | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 3mo | 300PS | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 3mo | flance911 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | 0x4dd8...225972 | No / 99.7¢ | -65.01 | $64.8 | |
| 3mo | TeemuPukki | No / 99.7¢ | +65.01 | $64.8 | |
| 3mo | 44444444ben | Yes / 1.4¢ | -6.50 | $0.09 | |
| 3mo | 0xTrk | No / 98.6¢ | -6.50 | $6.41 | |
| 3mo | 44444444ben | Yes / 0.1¢ | +19.59 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | 44444444ben | Yes / 0.4¢ | +232.55 | $0.93 | |
| 3mo | HZYTG | No / 99.7¢ | -23.36 | $23.3 | |
| 3mo | 44444444ben | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.75 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | SpicySOB | Yes / 0.4¢ | -344.66 | $1.25 | |
| 3mo | Bearpp | No / 99.7¢ | -35.04 | $34.9 | |
| 3mo | Zzdl | No / 99.7¢ | -23.37 | $23.3 |
1–25
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
No 92%$82.4Kvolume
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
Yes 100%$409Kvolume
US issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026?
No 100%$79.3Kvolume
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?
No 100%$257Kvolume
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
No 100%$1.52Mvolume
US shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?
Yes 100%$67.7Kvolume