
Volume
$6K
Txns
227
Traders
72
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$0
Ends
Apr 4, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that both pilots downed over Iran have been recovered by April 3, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Recovered” is defined as the pilots both being physically in the custody of the United States, and extracted from Iranian soil. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that both were in the custody of the United States within this market’s timeframe. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives. An announcement must be made within this market’s timeframe to qualify toward its resolution; announcements made outside of this market’s timeframe will not be considered.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 87%$28.1Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.43Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 63%$26.6Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 91%$3.98Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 80%$20.5Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes 50%$7.88Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | ThisIsFinee | Yes / 22.0¢ | +300.00 | $66 | |
| 2mo | 95de | No / 78.0¢ | +72.86 | $56.8 | |
| 2mo | OkieDokiePeon | No / 78.0¢ | +200.00 | $156 | |
| 2mo | Morbuu | No / 78.0¢ | +27.14 | $21.2 | |
| 2mo | dsosods | Yes / 21.0¢ | -7.14 | $1.5 | |
| 2mo | ThisIsFinee | Yes / 21.0¢ | +7.14 | $1.5 | |
| 2mo | fdamian | No / 78.9¢ | -60.00 | $47.3 | |
| 2mo | dsosods | Yes / 20.0¢ | -7.14 | $1.43 | |
| 2mo | Morbuu | No / 78.0¢ | +12.86 | $10 | |
| 2mo | 0xgnaht95 | No / 79.0¢ | +40.00 | $31.6 | |
| 2mo | dsosods | Yes / 16.0¢ | +14.28 | $2.28 | |
| 2mo | fdamian | No / 84.0¢ | +60.00 | $50.4 | |
| 2mo | 8624 | No / 84.0¢ | -45.72 | $38.4 | |
| 2mo | 95de | No / 83.0¢ | +168.98 | $140 | |
| 2mo | Slackjaw | No / 84.0¢ | +20.00 | $16.8 | |
| 2mo | HerrieDavis | Yes / 16.0¢ | -20.00 | $3.2 | |
| 2mo | n84nfoxf7c098fjglmz | Yes / 16.8¢ | +222.00 | $37.3 | |
| 2mo | dissk | Yes / 17.0¢ | -13.02 | $2.21 | |
| 2mo | 95de | No / 88.0¢ | -60.00 | $52.8 | |
| 2mo | djx | Yes / 12.6¢ | -100.00 | $12.6 | |
| 2mo | Hypernica | Yes / 13.0¢ | +20.00 | $2.6 | |
| 2mo | Hypernica | Yes / 14.0¢ | +20.00 | $2.8 | |
| 2mo | 0xa3bFC2fd48E8537c6D7272f37c25198bDC63f305-1775129252423 | No / 85.0¢ | +20.00 | $17 | |
| 2mo | DineroGratis | Yes / 14.9¢ | +165.80 | $24.7 | |
| 2mo | 95de | No / 85.0¢ | +130.80 | $111 |
1–25