
Volume
$48K
Txns
720
Traders
159
Fees
$0
Ends
—
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | Kol. | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 4mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 4mo | steveeev | No / 0.1¢ | +6.12 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +6.12 | $6.11 | |
| 4mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +61.02 | $61 | |
| 4mo | 0xc372...c73b5c | Yes / 99.9¢ | -61.02 | $61 | |
| 4mo | Hakei. | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,027.93 | $1.03K | |
| 4mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,027.93 | $1.03K | |
| 4mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | PaddyAlpha | Yes / 98.9¢ | -18.84 | $18.6 | |
| 4mo | 0xleo888 | No / 1.1¢ | +100.00 | $1.1 | |
| 4mo | bjprolo | No / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | qqqppp-l1 | No / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | PaddyAlpha | No / 0.1¢ | +225.00 | $0.23 | |
| 4mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.4¢ | +553.84 | $550 | |
| 4mo | L.X | Yes / 98.9¢ | +10.01 | $9.9 | |
| 4mo | PaddyAlpha | Yes / 98.9¢ | -10.01 | $9.9 | |
| 4mo | 0x1C343e9A8B109758e72414ea402c93d2A982b767-1771747219893 | Yes / 98.9¢ | +10.11 | $10 | |
| 4mo | PaddyAlpha | Yes / 98.9¢ | -10.11 | $10 | |
| 4mo | Hakei. | Yes / 98.0¢ | +6.90 | $6.76 | |
| 4mo | asfdt18 | No / 2.0¢ | +6.90 | $0.14 | |
| 4mo | PaddyAlpha | Yes / 98.4¢ | -100.00 | $98.4 | |
| 4mo | Hakei. | Yes / 98.6¢ | +169.00 | $167 | |
| 4mo | 2B9S | No / 1.2¢ | +69.00 | $0.83 | |
| 4mo | 0x1C343e9A8B109758e72414ea402c93d2A982b767-1771747219893 | Yes / 98.0¢ | -10.00 | $9.8 |
1–25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin…
Yes 100%$0volume
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 99%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti…
No 100%$0volume
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elec…
Yes 55%$0volume
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes 80%$0volume
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 79%$0volume