
Volume
$48K
Txns
719
Traders
159
Fees
$0
Ends
—
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
Trades
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$15.7Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 83%$28.8Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Yes 100%$7.13Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 59%$27Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 97%$4.35Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Yes 100%$7.41Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | Kol. | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | steveeev | No / 0.1¢ | +6.12 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +6.12 | $6.11 | |
| 3mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +61.02 | $61 | |
| 3mo | 0xc372...c73b5c | Yes / 99.9¢ | -61.02 | $61 | |
| 3mo | Hakei. | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,027.93 | $1.03K | |
| 3mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,027.93 | $1.03K | |
| 3mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | PaddyAlpha | Yes / 98.9¢ | -18.84 | $18.6 | |
| 3mo | 0xleo888 | No / 1.1¢ | +100.00 | $1.1 | |
| 3mo | bjprolo | No / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | qqqppp-l1 | No / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | PaddyAlpha | No / 0.1¢ | +225.00 | $0.23 | |
| 3mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.4¢ | +553.84 | $550 | |
| 3mo | L.X | Yes / 98.9¢ | +10.01 | $9.9 | |
| 3mo | PaddyAlpha | Yes / 98.9¢ | -10.01 | $9.9 | |
| 3mo | 0x1C343e9A8B109758e72414ea402c93d2A982b767-1771747219893 | Yes / 98.9¢ | +10.11 | $10 | |
| 3mo | PaddyAlpha | Yes / 98.9¢ | -10.11 | $10 | |
| 3mo | Hakei. | Yes / 98.0¢ | +6.90 | $6.76 | |
| 3mo | asfdt18 | No / 2.0¢ | +6.90 | $0.14 | |
| 3mo | PaddyAlpha | Yes / 98.4¢ | -100.00 | $98.4 | |
| 3mo | Hakei. | Yes / 98.6¢ | +169.00 | $167 | |
| 3mo | 2B9S | No / 1.2¢ | +69.00 | $0.83 | |
| 3mo | 0x1C343e9A8B109758e72414ea402c93d2A982b767-1771747219893 | Yes / 98.0¢ | -10.00 | $9.8 |
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