
Volume
$160K
Txns
3,178
Traders
503
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participates on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conducts a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation which is either confirmed by the U.S. Government or an overwhelming consensus of reporting will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government, however an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +77.55 | $0.16 | |
| 9mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +339.00 | $0.34 | |
| 9mo | 0xf03a...ee7a9a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 9mo | obezyana | No / 99.5¢ | -34.21 | $34 | |
| 9mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +8.00 | $0.01 | |
| 9mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +51.88 | $0.1 | |
| 9mo | 0xa4b4...1fefc6 | No / 99.5¢ | -17.00 | $16.9 | |
| 9mo | MalarkeyMaster | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 9mo | blunderbot | No / 99.9¢ | -386.81 | $386 | |
| 9mo | elmcap2 | No / 99.9¢ | +969.45 | $968 | |
| 9mo | simulacrum3 | Yes / 1.1¢ | -1,078.38 | $11.9 | |
| 9mo | doubleone | No / 98.9¢ | -1,125.38 | $1.11K | |
| 9mo | 0xa4b4...1fefc6 | No / 99.0¢ | +17.00 | $16.8 | |
| 9mo | obezyana | No / 99.0¢ | +30.00 | $29.7 | |
| 9mo | 0x2d30...8278ff | No / 99.7¢ | +22.66 | $22.6 | |
| 9mo | 4... | Yes / 0.3¢ | +22.66 | $0.07 | |
| 9mo | Burnmoneyuser | No / 99.7¢ | +35.00 | $34.9 | |
| 9mo | 4... | Yes / 0.4¢ | +15.00 | $0.06 | |
| 9mo | Lkens | No / 99.7¢ | -20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 9mo | simulacrum3 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +750.00 | $7.5 | |
| 9mo | Nadmi | Yes / 1.1¢ | +123.79 | $1.36 | |
| 9mo | Burnmoneyuser | No / 99.0¢ | +873.79 | $865 | |
| 9mo | Nadmi | Yes / 1.1¢ | +17.69 | $0.19 | |
| 9mo | 0xe00c...d30209 | No / 98.9¢ | +17.69 | $17.5 | |
| 9mo | arabsearch | No / 98.9¢ | +5.00 | $4.95 |
1–25
Trump out as President by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 2…
Yes 100%$0volume
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28,…
No 100%$0volume
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
Yes 90%$0volume
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
No 98%$0volume