
Volume
$142
Txns
23
Traders
11
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
No 100%$20.6Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 74%$48.9Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 100%$31.8Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 98%$26.9Mvolume
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Yes 99%$10.9Mvolume
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
No 99%$18.5Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | slowdown3 | No / 95.0¢ | -2.22 | $2.11 | |
| 1h | FFFF0857LP | Yes / 5.0¢ | -2.22 | $0.11 | |
| 1h | slowdown3 | No / 95.5¢ | +2.22 | $2.12 | |
| 1h | nightphobos | Yes / 4.5¢ | -20.00 | $0.9 | |
| 1h | qazibaba | Yes / 4.5¢ | +22.22 | $1 | |
| 3h | FFFF0857LP | Yes / 6.0¢ | +21.00 | $1.26 | |
| 3h | nightphobos | Yes / 6.3¢ | +20.00 | $1.26 | |
| 3h | Inchoroi | No / 93.9¢ | +41.00 | $38.5 | |
| 3h | nightphobos | Yes / 6.1¢ | +10.65 | $0.65 | |
| 3h | Inchoroi | No / 93.9¢ | +10.65 | $10 | |
| 3h | SenzoCoffee | Yes / 3.6¢ | +12.22 | $0.44 | |
| 3h | bilibobz | Yes / 3.6¢ | -12.22 | $0.44 | |
| 3h | bilibobz | Yes / 3.6¢ | -7.78 | $0.28 | |
| 3h | SenzoCoffee | Yes / 3.6¢ | +27.78 | $1 | |
| 3h | nightphobos | Yes / 3.6¢ | -20.00 | $0.72 | |
| 4h | eeeeeeret | Yes / 3.0¢ | -20.00 | $0.6 | |
| 4h | olekslie | Yes / 3.0¢ | +20.00 | $0.6 | |
| 4h | 0x222483965F5799373CF65953919Ee110285523E1-1761204514688 | No / 96.0¢ | +40.00 | $38.4 | |
| 4h | nightphobos | Yes / 4.0¢ | +20.00 | $0.8 | |
| 4h | eeeeeeret | Yes / 4.0¢ | +20.00 | $0.8 | |
| 4h | DerDon | No / 93.0¢ | +40.00 | $37.2 | |
| 4h | bilibobz | Yes / 7.0¢ | +20.00 | $1.4 | |
| 4h | nightphobos | Yes / 7.0¢ | +20.00 | $1.4 |
1–23