
Volume
$70K
Txns
743
Traders
152
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, the US government, or US armed forces announces that US armed forces conducted a new strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 81%$30.5Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 99%$6.01Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 53%$27.4Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 81%$20.9Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$6.01Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes 52%$8.22Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | From300To10K | No / 0.2¢ | -5.12 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | HailMery | Yes / 99.8¢ | -5.12 | $5.11 | |
| 4mo | .jeet | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2,024.52 | $2.02K | |
| 4mo | JoachimPeiper | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,024.52 | $2.02K | |
| 4mo | 0xb402...eb844d | No / 0.1¢ | -1,201.00 | $1.2 | |
| 4mo | .jeet | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,201.00 | $1.2K | |
| 4mo | From300To10K | No / 0.2¢ | -12.50 | $0.03 | |
| 4mo | Luckyfortunate | Yes / 99.8¢ | -12.50 | $12.5 | |
| 4mo | 0x2C45f2bE0c74bf01580A4b558bb26979D6e64790-1758033737214 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +205.00 | $205 | |
| 4mo | .jeet | Yes / 99.9¢ | -88.00 | $87.9 | |
| 4mo | .jeet | Yes / 99.9¢ | -205.00 | $205 | |
| 4mo | 0x2C45f2bE0c74bf01580A4b558bb26979D6e64790-1758033737214 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +88.00 | $87.9 | |
| 4mo | danial-etdolorum807 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +30.00 | $30 | |
| 4mo | .jeet | Yes / 99.9¢ | -30.00 | $30 | |
| 4mo | OldPanda | No / 0.1¢ | -18.18 | $0.02 | |
| 4mo | SterileScissors | No / 0.1¢ | -12.64 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | mygogogo | No / 0.1¢ | -542.00 | $0.54 | |
| 4mo | .jeet | Yes / 99.9¢ | -582.82 | $582 | |
| 4mo | RichardTheTurd | No / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 0xb402...eb844d | No / 0.1¢ | +301.00 | $0.3 | |
| 4mo | 0xb402...eb844d | No / 0.1¢ | +298.00 | $0.3 | |
| 4mo | 0xb402...eb844d | No / 0.1¢ | +301.00 | $0.3 | |
| 4mo | Infringe | Yes / 99.9¢ | +900.00 | $899 | |
| 4mo | 0xb402...eb844d | No / 0.1¢ | +301.00 | $0.3 | |
| 4mo | stealer | Yes / 99.9¢ | +301.00 | $301 |
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