
Volume
$11K
Txns
50
Traders
28
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, the US government, or US armed forces announces that US armed forces conducted a new strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 85%$31.2Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$6.19Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 50%$27.7Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 79%$21.1Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$6.08Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes 51%$8.32Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | Intersection | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 5mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | M888 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 5mo | Liamyxy | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +574.00 | $0.57 | |
| 5mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | No / 0.1¢ | +228.00 | $0.23 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | No / 0.1¢ | +358.00 | $0.36 | |
| 5mo | M888 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,170.00 | $1.17K | |
| 5mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +144.00 | $0.14 | |
| 5mo | Sacred522 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +930.00 | $929 | |
| 5mo | 0x161f...28b075 | No / 0.1¢ | +367.00 | $0.37 | |
| 5mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | No / 0.1¢ | +235.00 | $0.23 | |
| 5mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | No / 0.1¢ | +184.00 | $0.18 | |
| 5mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | No / 0.1¢ | +75.00 | $0.07 | |
| 5mo | Intersection | Yes / 99.9¢ | +75.00 | $74.9 | |
| 5mo | gogogo1234556 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 5mo | zonh | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | Dr.mett | Yes / 99.0¢ | +638.00 | $632 | |
| 5mo | tiancs | No / 1.0¢ | +200.00 | $2 | |
| 5mo | ronaldk | Yes / 99.0¢ | -38.00 | $37.6 | |
| 5mo | 9735 | No / 1.0¢ | +300.00 | $3 | |
| 5mo | t189 | No / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | 4... | No / 2.0¢ | +6.32 | $0.13 | |
| 5mo | WarriorPooh | Yes / 97.0¢ | -871.64 | $845 |
1–25