
Volume
$44K
Txns
1,028
Traders
230
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi Arabia initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Saudi Arabia's military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Saudi Arabian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Saudi Arabian ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | Nbest55 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | 0xblocked | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | AJSV | Yes / 0.7¢ | +100.00 | $0.7 | |
| 3mo | cristinathearena | Yes / 0.7¢ | -100.00 | $0.7 | |
| 3mo | SlavenStoj32760 | No / 99.6¢ | -28.00 | $27.9 | |
| 3mo | Porx | No / 99.7¢ | -306.48 | $306 | |
| 3mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | yyyy77777yyyyy777yyy | No / 99.8¢ | +1,344.48 | $1.34K | |
| 3mo | cristinathearena | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | M2sx92kljs42 | No / 99.2¢ | -202.80 | $201 | |
| 3mo | cristinathearena | Yes / 0.8¢ | -202.80 | $1.62 | |
| 3mo | puzatic | No / 99.5¢ | +50.00 | $49.8 | |
| 3mo | M2sx92kljs42 | No / 99.5¢ | -548.54 | $546 | |
| 3mo | Bromley86 | No / 99.5¢ | +498.54 | $496 | |
| 3mo | Porx | No / 99.7¢ | -34.00 | $33.9 | |
| 3mo | 0x6dAefF7Fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694Ae45A-1768425409157 | Yes / 0.3¢ | -34.00 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | Perypery | Yes / 0.3¢ | -38.46 | $0.12 | |
| 3mo | Porx | No / 99.7¢ | -38.46 | $38.3 | |
| 3mo | Sonmerfield | No / 99.5¢ | -1.46 | $1.45 | |
| 3mo | Bromley86 | No / 99.5¢ | +1.46 | $1.45 | |
| 3mo | Porx | No / 99.7¢ | -2.61 | $2.6 | |
| 3mo | Sonmerfield | No / 99.7¢ | +2.61 | $2.6 | |
| 3mo | buzzedballs | No / 99.5¢ | +21.10 | $21 | |
| 3mo | 0xba2c...0f54d0 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +3.98 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | cristinathearena | Yes / 0.4¢ | +12.89 | $0.05 |
1–25
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 73%$0volume
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?
Yes 100%$0volume
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
Yes 99%$0volume
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
No 99%$0volume
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
No 98%$0volume