
Volume
$12K
Txns
229
Traders
55
Fees
$0
Ends
—
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the market ‘US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?’ (https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 4-hour period between 10:00 AM and 1:59 PM ET on December 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://federivative.polymarket.com/index/odds-of-us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-in-2025-on-monday-over-70 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the 4-hour window. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Trades
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 100%$0volume
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 80%$0volume
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 87%$0volume
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elec…
Yes 56%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026…
No 98%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 75%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8mo | Gpabs342 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 8mo | BettingKlaus | No / 99.0¢ | +100.00 | $99 | |
| 8mo | scottvan4 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -99.99 | $0.1 | |
| 8mo | milize | Yes / 0.1¢ | -110.00 | $0.11 | |
| 8mo | BettingKlaus | No / 99.0¢ | +504.70 | $500 | |
| 8mo | esac | Yes / 0.1¢ | -200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 8mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -90.00 | $0.09 | |
| 8mo | liljulien15 | Yes / 0.6¢ | +1,757.75 | $10 | |
| 8mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.2¢ | +500.00 | $496 | |
| 8mo | mountaingreen | Yes / 0.1¢ | -43.06 | $0.04 | |
| 8mo | RichardTheTurd | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | From300To10K | Yes / 0.2¢ | -200.00 | $0.4 | |
| 8mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -410.00 | $0.41 | |
| 8mo | RichardTheTurd | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | From300To10K | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 8mo | esac | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 8mo | daroghi | Yes / 0.3¢ | +12.00 | $0.04 | |
| 8mo | yamata6 | No / 99.7¢ | +12.00 | $12 | |
| 8mo | mountaingreen | Yes / 0.8¢ | -10.41 | $0.08 | |
| 8mo | 0x7483Bd75a348BB0fbd99091520775D0Dc2971f07-1764364489731 | No / 99.2¢ | -10.41 | $10.3 | |
| 8mo | mountaingreen | Yes / 0.5¢ | +32.57 | $0.16 | |
| 8mo | daroghi | Yes / 0.5¢ | -32.57 | $0.16 | |
| 8mo | daroghi | Yes / 0.5¢ | -20.90 | $0.1 | |
| 8mo | mountaingreen | Yes / 0.5¢ | +20.90 | $0.1 | |
| 8mo | daroghi | Yes / 0.2¢ | +53.47 | $0.11 |
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