
Volume
$761K
Txns
7,124
Traders
1,014
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a nuclear weapon is detonated anywhere in the world between December 17, 2025 ET, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market's resolution, any detonation of a nuclear weapon anywhere on the planet Earth or in space will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution. This includes offensive usages, nuclear tests, and accidental detonations. Use/launch of a nuclear weapon that fails to detonate, a fake weapon that never detonates, or a dirty bomb that distributes radioactive material by means of a conventional explosion are not sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution of this market. Only a successful nuclear detonation will result in a "Yes" resolution. This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as a nuclear detonation is confirmed by a preponderance of credible reporting. For the purpose of this market's resolution, determination as to whether a detonation was nuclear will be made by a preponderance of credible reporting.
Trades
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
No 100%$7.05Mvolume
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
No 98%$4.58Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 96%$18.3Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 99%$6.1Mvolume
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
No 100%$1.5Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$10.5Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | 100x | No / 95.1¢ | +20.41 | $19.4 | |
| 3mo | SixSevennnnnn | Yes / 4.9¢ | +20.41 | $1 | |
| 3mo | Numitus1994 | Yes / 4.8¢ | -20.46 | $0.98 | |
| 3mo | themetaisok | Yes / 4.8¢ | +87.71 | $4.21 | |
| 3mo | ScottVan | Yes / 4.8¢ | -67.25 | $3.23 | |
| 3mo | ScottVan | Yes / 4.8¢ | -184.17 | $8.84 | |
| 3mo | Aprendice | Yes / 4.8¢ | +208.33 | $10 | |
| 3mo | seisui | Yes / 4.8¢ | -24.16 | $1.16 | |
| 3mo | 286mgfr | No / 95.3¢ | +6.42 | $6.12 | |
| 3mo | sfdgffv | No / 95.3¢ | +14.86 | $14.2 | |
| 3mo | HulkSpeed | Yes / 4.7¢ | +21.28 | $1 | |
| 3mo | seisui | Yes / 4.8¢ | -20.83 | $1 | |
| 3mo | SixSevennnnnn | Yes / 4.8¢ | +20.83 | $1 | |
| 3mo | 3pmdd | No / 95.4¢ | +12.45 | $11.9 | |
| 3mo | windtree | Yes / 4.6¢ | +12.45 | $0.57 | |
| 3mo | windtree | Yes / 4.6¢ | +54.37 | $2.5 | |
| 3mo | seisui | Yes / 4.6¢ | +39.81 | $1.83 | |
| 3mo | Mads2391 | Yes / 4.6¢ | -204.18 | $9.39 | |
| 3mo | 286mgfr | Yes / 4.6¢ | +10.00 | $0.46 | |
| 3mo | ScottVan | Yes / 4.6¢ | +100.00 | $4.6 | |
| 3mo | 2pm | No / 95.4¢ | +5.19 | $4.95 | |
| 3mo | seisui | Yes / 4.6¢ | +5.19 | $0.24 | |
| 3mo | Kickstand8 | Yes / 4.9¢ | +2,750.00 | $135 | |
| 3mo | 100x | No / 95.1¢ | +2,750.00 | $2.62K | |
| 3mo | 0x49045613e3999c7BcF6006c19dC140202A9bd8Cc-1770982870390 | Yes / 4.9¢ | +173.06 | $8.48 |
1–25