
Volume
$27K
Txns
1,160
Traders
228
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
No 85%$13.6Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 63%$44.8Mvolume
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Yes 100%$5.92Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No 98%$10.3Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 96%$24.4Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
No 100%$1.68Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | 0x31b2...401f93 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2.25 | $2.25 | |
| 1mo | L.X | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2.25 | $2.25 | |
| 1mo | L.X | Yes / 99.9¢ | +14.15 | $14.1 | |
| 1mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -8.43 | $8.42 | |
| 1mo | daroghi | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.72 | $5.71 | |
| 1mo | 0x31b2...401f93 | Yes / 99.4¢ | -2.71 | $2.69 | |
| 1mo | daroghi | Yes / 99.4¢ | +2.71 | $2.69 | |
| 1mo | 0x4a4d...b4dcdd | Yes / 99.4¢ | -3.01 | $2.99 | |
| 1mo | daroghi | Yes / 99.4¢ | +3.01 | $2.99 | |
| 1mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.19 | $10.2 | |
| 1mo | 5273853 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.19 | $10.2 | |
| 1mo | tthahaha | Yes / 99.4¢ | +10.00 | $9.94 | |
| 1mo | LuckyPierrot | Yes / 99.3¢ | +5.33 | $5.29 | |
| 1mo | Mkt98 | No / 0.6¢ | +167.45 | $1 | |
| 1mo | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No / 0.6¢ | -142.12 | $0.85 | |
| 1mo | 5273853 | Yes / 99.5¢ | +10.00 | $9.95 | |
| 1mo | TheDragon1981 | Yes / 99.5¢ | -14.49 | $14.4 | |
| 1mo | 5273853 | Yes / 99.5¢ | +10.00 | $9.95 | |
| 1mo | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No / 0.6¢ | -4.49 | $0.03 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +996.01 | $995 | |
| 1mo | 0x2C45f2bE0c74bf01580A4b558bb26979D6e64790-1758033737214 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +97.00 | $96.9 | |
| 1mo | ScottVan | No / 0.1¢ | -4.09 | $0 | |
| 1mo | Robbb | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,097.10 | $1.1K | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4.99 | $4.99 | |
| 1mo | 2413244 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -4.99 | $4.99 |
1–25