
Volume
$260K
Txns
2,023
Traders
247
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 27, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel does not initiate a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies between October 17, and October 27, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Israel on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes 97%$63.9Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 97%$36Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes 100%$14.4Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$10.3Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 76%$24.7Mvolume
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Yes 100%$4.44Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | longtern | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | EnragedPanda07 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | EnragedPanda07 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -250.00 | $0.25 | |
| 1y | longtern | No / 99.9¢ | -250.00 | $250 | |
| 1y | EnragedPanda07 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | longtern | No / 99.9¢ | -743.32 | $743 | |
| 1y | pirateshere | No / 99.9¢ | -256.68 | $256 | |
| 1y | pirateshere | No / 99.9¢ | -1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1y | EnragedPanda07 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | EnragedPanda07 | No / 99.0¢ | -70.55 | $69.8 | |
| 1y | hmmmmm-365 | Yes / 1.0¢ | -70.55 | $0.71 | |
| 1y | pirateshere | No / 99.1¢ | +500.00 | $496 | |
| 1y | pirateshere | No / 99.1¢ | +256.68 | $254 | |
| 1y | longtern | No / 99.1¢ | +500.00 | $496 | |
| 1y | Nancy-Pelosi | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | hmmmmm-365 | Yes / 1.0¢ | -2,562.45 | $25.6 | |
| 1y | Rainiak | Yes / 0.1¢ | -280.39 | $0.28 | |
| 1y | ANudeEgg | No / 99.9¢ | +2,445.00 | $2.44K | |
| 1y | EnragedPanda07 | Yes / 0.6¢ | +8,544.52 | $50.2 | |
| 1y | longtern | No / 99.1¢ | +500.00 | $496 | |
| 1y | pirateshere | No / 99.0¢ | +500.00 | $495 | |
| 1y | TomMarkson | No / 99.9¢ | -30.00 | $30 | |
| 1y | PizzaWaffles | No / 99.9¢ | -25.00 | $25 | |
| 1y | ANudeEgg | No / 99.9¢ | +55.00 | $54.9 | |
| 1y | Shekel | No / 98.5¢ | -1.00 | $0.98 |
1–25