
Volume
$29K
Txns
1,202
Traders
273
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Syrian soil or any official Syrian embassy or consulate by the listed date (ET). For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Syrian ground territory or any official Syrian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Syrian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Syrian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | KimWell21 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | 0x143a1bb3f9d92E16027cEede21893bf80e19dAf1-1766104461205 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +37.50 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +25.01 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.80 | $0.02 | |
| 7mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +289.00 | $0.29 | |
| 7mo | DFarm | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | Liamyxy | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.00 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | planktonXD | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3,019.97 | $3.02 | |
| 7mo | 0x4e25...5cd7a7 | No / 99.9¢ | +3,452.97 | $3.45K | |
| 7mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +21.69 | $0.02 | |
| 7mo | wokerjoesleeper | No / 99.9¢ | +97.37 | $97.3 | |
| 7mo | planktonXD | Yes / 0.1¢ | +97.37 | $0.1 | |
| 7mo | wokerjoesleeper | No / 99.9¢ | +121.08 | $121 | |
| 7mo | planktonXD | Yes / 0.1¢ | +121.08 | $0.12 | |
| 7mo | wokerjoesleeper | No / 99.9¢ | +239.24 | $239 | |
| 7mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +25.00 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +12.66 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | planktonXD | Yes / 0.1¢ | +182.34 | $0.18 | |
| 7mo | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +220.00 | $220 | |
| 7mo | planktonXD | Yes / 0.1¢ | +239.24 | $0.24 | |
| 7mo | woeva | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 7mo | KimWell21 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,716.66 | $2.72 | |
| 7mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +21.34 | $0.02 | |
| 7mo | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +3,060.00 | $3.06K |
1–25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 76%$0volume
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Yes 88%$0volume
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 91%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 79%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 72%$0volume