
Volume
$27K
Txns
481
Traders
103
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 7, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Trades
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 77%$0volume
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
No 100%$0volume
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
No 100%$0volume
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
No 100%$0volume
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No 93%$0volume
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
No 98%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | TemuOracle | No / 99.9¢ | -17.53 | $17.5 | |
| 1mo | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960 | No / 99.8¢ | -1,052.24 | $1.05K | |
| 1mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.8¢ | +3,388.85 | $3.38K | |
| 1mo | Crypto-Well | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,688.00 | $1.69 | |
| 1mo | 0xK9895C337CD7a93e845970f7B3AFea163870 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +12.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | niglette | Yes / 0.3¢ | +619.08 | $1.86 | |
| 1mo | TemuOracle | No / 99.7¢ | -17.52 | $17.5 | |
| 1mo | BSS37 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +100.00 | $0.3 | |
| 1mo | rocketcrypto | Yes / 1.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | PPMT | No / 99.6¢ | -33.20 | $33.1 | |
| 1mo | 0x9D6286A4e5e7E24a3dA490Bcc4ba62E40cBafddA-1736942649259 | No / 99.3¢ | -5.49 | $5.45 | |
| 1mo | thcdmz | No / 99.6¢ | +161.21 | $161 | |
| 1mo | PPMT | No / 99.1¢ | -10.00 | $9.91 | |
| 1mo | GeoAlpha1 | No / 99.1¢ | +10.00 | $9.91 | |
| 1mo | BSS37 | Yes / 2.1¢ | -3.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1mo | HomuraOda | Yes / 2.0¢ | +48.00 | $0.96 | |
| 1mo | PPMT | No / 98.0¢ | +45.00 | $44.1 | |
| 1mo | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 2.2¢ | -39.49 | $0.87 | |
| 1mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 97.7¢ | +5.71 | $5.57 | |
| 1mo | playboymoney | Yes / 2.2¢ | +45.20 | $1 | |
| 1mo | Elias.Thornwell | No / 98.7¢ | +24.60 | $24.3 | |
| 1mo | TemuOracle | No / 99.0¢ | +30.00 | $29.7 | |
| 1mo | Low-Latency | No / 98.3¢ | -115.11 | $113 | |
| 1mo | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 2.2¢ | -60.51 | $1.33 | |
| 1mo | BSS37 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +100.00 | $0.3 |
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