
Volume
$311K
Txns
4,770
Traders
650
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 27, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Wechat-Mark | No / 99.9¢ | -537.70 | $537 | |
| 1y | rwo | No / 99.9¢ | +537.70 | $537 | |
| 1y | SappySeal67 | No / 99.9¢ | -2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 1y | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +44.00 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +60.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +55.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | FlexPower | Yes / 0.1¢ | +300.00 | $0.3 | |
| 1y | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | UwO | No / 99.9¢ | +3,463.00 | $3.46K | |
| 1y | Funfzig | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | Ziigmund | No / 99.9¢ | -85.00 | $84.9 | |
| 1y | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +207.00 | $0.21 | |
| 1y | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +587.00 | $0.59 | |
| 1y | Chims | No / 99.8¢ | +6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 1y | rowanzayden40 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +6.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | rowanzayden40 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +4.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Xinhua-News | No / 99.8¢ | +70.00 | $69.9 | |
| 1y | Funfzig | Yes / 0.2¢ | +20.00 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | Beatarwn8 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +30.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | shaynalibbie2641 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +16.00 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | Funfzig | Yes / 0.5¢ | +20.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | rwo | No / 99.7¢ | +7,634.50 | $7.61K | |
| 1y | LBZero | Yes / 0.3¢ | +21.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | Funfzig | Yes / 0.3¢ | +20.00 | $0.06 |
1–25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti…
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Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
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Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
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No 76%$0volume
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 83%$0volume