
Volume
$2M
Txns
6,340
Traders
1,076
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 25, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies between October 18, 2024 (inclusive), and October 25, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Israel on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Trades
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 75%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 80%$0volume
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 79%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 93%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | VohlinRabbah | Yes / 99.8¢ | -3.12 | $3.11 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.8¢ | +3.12 | $3.11 | |
| 1y | sorgegorrows | Yes / 99.8¢ | -416.65 | $416 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.8¢ | +416.65 | $416 | |
| 1y | SlavaUkraini | Yes / 99.7¢ | +2,627.58 | $2.62K | |
| 1y | Ron24 | No / 0.2¢ | +9,680.21 | $20 | |
| 1y | Ordon | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | pocahontasporker | Yes / 99.8¢ | +5,064.63 | $5.05K | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,488.00 | $1.49K | |
| 1y | Ordon | Yes / 99.9¢ | +400.00 | $400 | |
| 1y | pocahontasporker | Yes / 99.8¢ | +1,750.37 | $1.75K | |
| 1y | Ron24 | Yes / 99.8¢ | -1,750.37 | $1.75K | |
| 1y | QuesterEnjoyer | No / 0.2¢ | +5,185.00 | $10.4 | |
| 1y | pocahontasporker | Yes / 99.8¢ | +5,185.00 | $5.17K | |
| 1y | r888 | No / 0.1¢ | +9,496.94 | $9.5 | |
| 1y | pocahontasporker | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10,676.94 | $10.7K | |
| 1y | r888 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,180.00 | $1.18 | |
| 1y | juneauxsnow | Yes / 99.9¢ | +503.06 | $503 | |
| 1y | r888 | No / 0.1¢ | +503.06 | $0.5 | |
| 1y | Skip-Earthwax | No / 0.1¢ | +55.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | LeonMusk | Yes / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | dontshowmyname | Yes / 99.9¢ | -30.57 | $30.5 | |
| 1y | pocahontasporker | Yes / 99.9¢ | +105.57 | $105 | |
| 1y | SlavaUkraini | Yes / 99.7¢ | +3,316.67 | $3.31K | |
| 1y | DarkEnchant3r | No / 0.3¢ | +3,371.67 | $10.1 |
1–25