
Volume
$123K
Txns
2,472
Traders
384
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 15, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market. Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
No 100%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 84%$0volume
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
No 100%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
No 100%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 96%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | KateRateF | No / 99.9¢ | -8.31 | $8.3 | |
| 2mo | 0x4D3686d4b7D079f1f78b919997372111369eCbFA-1732946619837 | No / 99.9¢ | -13.41 | $13.4 | |
| 2mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -755.48 | $0.76 | |
| 2mo | twobe3 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +250.00 | $0.25 | |
| 2mo | KateRateF | No / 99.9¢ | -7.07 | $7.06 | |
| 2mo | 0xRocket666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2mo | KateRateF | No / 99.9¢ | -6.25 | $6.24 | |
| 2mo | 0x6bDbBbf6b7A21c1bb1e83d5ba4c01ac1C4b64496-1771839100479 | No / 99.9¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 2mo | flarren | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | Carolyn7776 | No / 99.9¢ | -9.50 | $9.49 | |
| 2mo | KateRateF | No / 99.9¢ | -6.81 | $6.8 | |
| 2mo | Rebecca819 | No / 99.9¢ | -15.41 | $15.4 | |
| 2mo | Rylee8955 | No / 99.9¢ | -9.81 | $9.8 | |
| 2mo | 0x6276a57b569C0173f95c6625c817244B9187143f-1732466591565 | No / 99.9¢ | -18.91 | $18.9 | |
| 2mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | -913.99 | $0.91 | |
| 2mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +913.99 | $0.91 | |
| 2mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | -4,535.32 | $4.54 | |
| 2mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,202.32 | $1.2 | |
| 2mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,111.00 | $1.11 | |
| 2mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,222.00 | $2.22 | |
| 2mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | +413.99 | $0.41 | |
| 2mo | 0x5B82Ea055C0334fd9eC98953Da2285C9Ac596a4F-1775350558085 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -413.99 | $0.41 | |
| 2mo | Pamela1216 | No / 99.8¢ | -18.81 | $18.8 | |
| 2mo | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 0.2¢ | -18.81 | $0.04 | |
| 2mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 |
1–25