
Volume
$4M
Txns
86,404
Traders
13,358
Fees
$128
Liquidity
$123,081
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 99%$39.1Mvolume
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?
No 100%$12Mvolume
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
No 99%$1.63Mvolume
Iran leadership change by June 30?
No 100%$3.95Mvolume
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Yes 100%$993Kvolume
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 87%$15.4Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30m | lordedward | No / 99.0¢ | +203.45 | $201 | |
| 30m | nc3iceibvtvetvbt | Yes / 0.9¢ | -80.00 | $0.72 | |
| 30m | Jimmybear | Yes / 0.9¢ | -249.50 | $2.25 | |
| 30m | KakiBatusik | Yes / 0.9¢ | +532.95 | $5 | |
| 42m | lordedward | No / 99.0¢ | +100.00 | $99 | |
| 42m | executes | Yes / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 42m | nc3iceibvtvetvbt | Yes / 1.0¢ | -24.99 | $0.25 | |
| 42m | lordedward | No / 99.0¢ | +275.01 | $272 | |
| 42m | Watchful-Archer | Yes / 1.0¢ | +300.00 | $3 | |
| 43m | 0x37EA8cD1e66025E4f78301124F995E793d1dF395-1760018986718 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +300.00 | $0.9 | |
| 43m | 0x9b5fb62fF41E104e65FA6CC4e57575EbD05f11c5-1768257631823 | Yes / 0.4¢ | -2,810.31 | $10.5 | |
| 43m | nc3iceibvtvetvbt | Yes / 0.5¢ | +80.00 | $0.4 | |
| 43m | ultralisk | Yes / 0.3¢ | +127.00 | $0.38 | |
| 43m | Jimmybear | Yes / 0.2¢ | +184.56 | $0.37 | |
| 43m | Tbhidk-1767 | No / 99.6¢ | -2,100.00 | $2.09K | |
| 43m | 0x7d64...4af001 | Yes / 0.4¢ | +18.75 | $0.07 | |
| 1h | nc3iceibvtvetvbt | Yes / 1.0¢ | -100.00 | $1 | |
| 1h | 415421 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 1h | ultralisk | Yes / 0.3¢ | +400.00 | $1.2 | |
| 1h | loliti | No / 99.7¢ | +3,165.00 | $3.16K | |
| 1h | 0x0df0...f2d7fe | Yes / 0.3¢ | +2,640.00 | $7.92 | |
| 1h | nc3iceibvtvetvbt | Yes / 0.4¢ | +125.00 | $0.5 | |
| 1h | 0xff1c...a72721 | No / 99.0¢ | -6.56 | $6.49 | |
| 1h | trader.42 | No / 99.1¢ | +6.56 | $6.5 | |
| 1h | 0xff1c...a72721 | No / 99.1¢ | -5.00 | $4.96 |
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