
Volume
$2K
Txns
41
Traders
20
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$8,475
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34m | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 37.0¢ | +7.94 | $2.94 | |
| 34m | 0x3a35...18bc44 | No / 63.0¢ | +7.94 | $5.05 | |
| 35m | Mikelious | Yes / 38.0¢ | +452.63 | $172 | |
| 35m | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 62.0¢ | +203.91 | $126 | |
| 35m | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 62.0¢ | +248.72 | $154 | |
| 2h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 62.0¢ | +251.28 | $156 | |
| 2h | Yooooo1 | No / 62.0¢ | -275.28 | $171 | |
| 2h | OneLastHurrah | No / 62.0¢ | +24.00 | $14.9 | |
| 4h | Yooooo1 | No / 62.0¢ | +263.16 | $163 | |
| 4h | 0x770d8126Ac0a62240D87a859B1051615A3F229C7-1775595236775 | Yes / 38.0¢ | +263.16 | $100 | |
| 8h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 62.0¢ | +77.87 | $48.3 | |
| 8h | kekkone | No / 62.0¢ | -100.00 | $62 | |
| 8h | 0x853d6B144209CF5F4ED5C5b9cBd3aE531Eb79e2c-1772407733682 | No / 62.0¢ | +10.00 | $6.2 | |
| 8h | Yooooo1 | No / 62.0¢ | +12.13 | $7.52 | |
| 8h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 62.0¢ | +200.00 | $124 | |
| 8h | wendywu1 | Yes / 38.0¢ | +200.00 | $76 | |
| 8h | wendywu1 | No / 62.0¢ | -200.00 | $124 | |
| 8h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 62.0¢ | +200.00 | $124 | |
| 8h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 37.0¢ | +200.00 | $74 | |
| 8h | wendywu1 | No / 63.0¢ | +200.00 | $126 | |
| 10h | 0x070800b57eA1606DeE46b649e7B5a1767A15f218-1773554899856 | Yes / 37.0¢ | -15.28 | $5.65 | |
| 10h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 37.0¢ | +14.02 | $5.19 | |
| 10h | SqMoneyHunter | Yes / 37.0¢ | +1.26 | $0.47 | |
| 10h | 0x070800b57eA1606DeE46b649e7B5a1767A15f218-1773554899856 | Yes / 38.0¢ | +22.13 | $8.41 | |
| 10h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 62.0¢ | +22.13 | $13.7 |
1–25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
No 100%$16.5Mvolume
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
No 98%$1.1Mvolume
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?
No 98%$1.03Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 94%$13.4Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
No 99%$14Mvolume
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
No 63%$1.99Mvolume