
Volume
$927K
Txns
4,911
Traders
681
Fees
$5
Ends
Jun 14, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 100%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 75%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 80%$0volume
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 79%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 93%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | lukny1410 | No / 99.9¢ | -423.00 | $423 | |
| 1mo | onekey02 | No / 99.9¢ | +423.00 | $423 | |
| 1mo | 0x97B9E9143F7491B03Bc9359EF76163AC8268E7e5-1772261479407 | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 1mo | onekey02 | No / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 1mo | aaddpp | No / 99.9¢ | -117.64 | $118 | |
| 1mo | onekey02 | No / 99.9¢ | +117.64 | $118 | |
| 1mo | 0xzipper | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | onekey02 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1mo | 0xzipper | No / 99.9¢ | -149.99 | $150 | |
| 1mo | onekey02 | No / 99.9¢ | +149.99 | $150 | |
| 1mo | vbm | No / 99.9¢ | -13.32 | $13.3 | |
| 1mo | onekey02 | No / 99.9¢ | +13.32 | $13.3 | |
| 1mo | 0x595a...5bbca8 | No / 99.4¢ | -114.91 | $114 | |
| 1mo | onekey02 | No / 99.9¢ | +114.91 | $115 | |
| 1mo | 0x3335...80d0f7 | No / 99.8¢ | -10.09 | $10.1 | |
| 1mo | keepsfailingupwards | No / 99.8¢ | +10.09 | $10.1 | |
| 1mo | 0x8733...0654f7 | No / 99.8¢ | -15.13 | $15.1 | |
| 1mo | keepsfailingupwards | No / 99.8¢ | +15.13 | $15.1 | |
| 1mo | keepsfailingupwards | No / 99.8¢ | +10.09 | $10.1 | |
| 1mo | 0x55e7...500460 | No / 99.8¢ | -10.09 | $10.1 | |
| 1mo | keepsfailingupwards | No / 99.8¢ | +16.54 | $16.5 | |
| 1mo | 0xc6fa...eda933 | No / 99.8¢ | -16.54 | $16.5 | |
| 1mo | keepsfailingupwards | No / 99.8¢ | +9.82 | $9.8 | |
| 1mo | 0xb653...898681 | No / 99.8¢ | -9.82 | $9.8 | |
| 1mo | 0x2a15...e5f2a3 | No / 99.8¢ | -3.47 | $3.46 |
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