
Volume
$14K
Txns
449
Traders
140
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$21,649
Ends
Jun 14, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 96%$18.2Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 84%$22.2Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$10.4Mvolume
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
No 100%$1.11Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$63.4Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Yes 100%$4.28Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28m | MrMelonHead | No / 89.0¢ | +337.08 | $300 | |
| 28m | OkieDokiePeon | Yes / 11.0¢ | +337.08 | $37.1 | |
| 49m | Guymaman | No / 89.0¢ | +2.25 | $2 | |
| 49m | OkieDokiePeon | Yes / 11.0¢ | +2.25 | $0.25 | |
| 1h | OkieDokiePeon | Yes / 11.0¢ | +1.12 | $0.12 | |
| 1h | 0x44E33D4e46813EfdA05ef5B3351Adac55Df6c39e-1776849011100 | No / 89.0¢ | +1.12 | $1 | |
| 1h | OkieDokiePeon | Yes / 11.0¢ | +11.24 | $1.24 | |
| 1h | Guymaman | No / 89.0¢ | +11.24 | $10 | |
| 1h | OkieDokiePeon | Yes / 12.0¢ | +300.00 | $36 | |
| 1h | J25525 | Yes / 12.0¢ | +98.04 | $11.8 | |
| 1h | ppxtu | No / 87.8¢ | +590.00 | $518 | |
| 1h | OkieDokiePeon | Yes / 13.0¢ | +91.96 | $12 | |
| 1h | ultralisk | Yes / 12.0¢ | +100.00 | $12 | |
| 2h | OkieDokiePeon | Yes / 13.0¢ | +5.75 | $0.75 | |
| 2h | Guymaman | No / 87.0¢ | +5.75 | $5 | |
| 3h | ultrasenevn | No / 87.0¢ | +2.29 | $1.99 | |
| 3h | OkieDokiePeon | Yes / 13.0¢ | +2.29 | $0.3 | |
| 3h | 0xc1d4...9861a7 | No / 86.0¢ | +1.16 | $1 | |
| 3h | Colala | Yes / 14.0¢ | +1.16 | $0.16 | |
| 3h | Colala | Yes / 14.0¢ | +30.00 | $4.2 | |
| 3h | zxcursed121 | Yes / 14.0¢ | +7.21 | $1.01 | |
| 3h | nojnn | No / 86.0¢ | +37.21 | $32 | |
| 3h | ultralisk | Yes / 15.0¢ | +1.14 | $0.17 | |
| 3h | 0xc1d4...9861a7 | No / 85.0¢ | +1.18 | $1 | |
| 3h | Colala | Yes / 15.0¢ | +0.04 | $0.01 |
1–25