
Volume
$76K
Txns
1,753
Traders
315
Fees
$3
Liquidity
$35,493
Ends
Jun 13, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 89%$26.4Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.03Mvolume
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No 74%$25.6Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 89%$3.28Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 81%$19.8Mvolume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 81%$37.6Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13m | 0xa8c0...fa4371 | No / 97.3¢ | +5.14 | $5 | |
| 13m | Tbhidk-1767 | No / 97.3¢ | -5.14 | $5 | |
| 19m | milebV | No / 97.3¢ | +11.31 | $11 | |
| 19m | Tbhidk-1767 | No / 97.3¢ | -11.31 | $11 | |
| 52m | PitiolugRPGs | No / 97.3¢ | +7.19 | $7 | |
| 52m | Tbhidk-1767 | No / 97.3¢ | -7.19 | $7 | |
| 55m | aw9hzzfktj3x | No / 96.1¢ | -0.01 | $0.01 | |
| 55m | Trumpchi | No / 97.0¢ | +0.01 | $0.01 | |
| 55m | zsey | No / 97.3¢ | +16.44 | $16 | |
| 55m | Tbhidk-1767 | No / 97.3¢ | -16.44 | $16 | |
| 1h | Trumpchi | No / 97.0¢ | +1.17 | $1.13 | |
| 1h | 0x75e2...942762 | No / 97.0¢ | -1.17 | $1.13 | |
| 1h | Tbhidk-1767 | No / 97.3¢ | -5.14 | $5 | |
| 1h | Pradogusto | No / 97.3¢ | +5.14 | $5 | |
| 1h | Trumpchi | No / 97.0¢ | +46.67 | $45.3 | |
| 1h | 0x103404B7B6226DD1BF3ED0112895f9A3F546be24-1776002885957 | No / 97.0¢ | +20.00 | $19.4 | |
| 1h | tantanE | Yes / 3.0¢ | +66.67 | $2 | |
| 1h | tsddd | No / 97.3¢ | +5.14 | $5.01 | |
| 1h | Tbhidk-1767 | No / 97.3¢ | -5.14 | $5 | |
| 1h | newnewuser | No / 96.0¢ | +100.00 | $96 | |
| 1h | Trumpchi | No / 96.0¢ | +100.00 | $96 | |
| 1h | Mithrandir. | No / 97.1¢ | +100.00 | $97.1 | |
| 1h | newnewuser | No / 95.8¢ | +16.35 | $15.7 | |
| 1h | Revered | No / 96.6¢ | -760.00 | $734 | |
| 1h | ultralisk | No / 97.2¢ | +100.00 | $97.2 |
1–25