
Volume
$166K
Txns
2,445
Traders
425
Fees
$4
Ends
Jun 13, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | 0x4968...083918 | No / 99.9¢ | -13.15 | $13.1 | |
| 1mo | em...well | Yes / 0.1¢ | -13.15 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | em...well | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | 0x3335...80d0f7 | No / 99.9¢ | -10.01 | $10 | |
| 1mo | 0x8733...0654f7 | No / 99.9¢ | -15.26 | $15.2 | |
| 1mo | em...well | Yes / 0.1¢ | -15.26 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | em...well | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.20 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | 0x55e7...500460 | No / 99.9¢ | -10.20 | $10.2 | |
| 1mo | 0xc6fa...eda933 | No / 99.9¢ | -3.52 | $3.52 | |
| 1mo | em...well | Yes / 0.1¢ | -3.52 | $0 | |
| 1mo | em...well | Yes / 0.1¢ | -20.63 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | 0xdDFDf1616Af953f98f78aFB324979C809F8Fa0d0-1774767892703 | No / 99.9¢ | -20.63 | $20.6 | |
| 1mo | newnewuser | No / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1mo | fivehouse | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1mo | almostunmarried | No / 99.9¢ | +377.97 | $378 | |
| 1mo | .Menthe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +47.97 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | newnewuser | No / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | em...well | Yes / 0.1¢ | +80.00 | $0.08 | |
| 1mo | .Menthe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.01 | $0 | |
| 1mo | dreyhrereyhred | No / 99.9¢ | +1.01 | $1.01 | |
| 1mo | taiziyoule | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | .Menthe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 1mo | ceshi2hao | No / 99.8¢ | -5.26 | $5.25 |
1–25
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 100%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 74%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 79%$0volume
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
No 100%$0volume