
Volume
$40K
Txns
940
Traders
176
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$16,415
Ends
Jun 11, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
No 100%$3.83Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 95%$18.1Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 84%$22.2Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$10.1Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$63.4Mvolume
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
No 100%$1.02Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6m | Tomermer | Yes / 4.5¢ | -57.49 | $2.58 | |
| 6m | YoungDaivid | No / 95.4¢ | -10.00 | $9.54 | |
| 6m | Colala | Yes / 4.5¢ | +14.90 | $0.67 | |
| 6m | NoSteinNoGate | Yes / 4.4¢ | +17.59 | $0.77 | |
| 6m | gellet | No / 95.5¢ | -15.00 | $14.3 | |
| 23m | gellet | No / 94.3¢ | +15.00 | $14.1 | |
| 23m | YoungDaivid | No / 94.2¢ | +10.00 | $9.42 | |
| 23m | J25525 | No / 93.7¢ | -46.92 | $44 | |
| 23m | spodkaposk | Yes / 5.6¢ | -7.54 | $0.42 | |
| 23m | Colala | Yes / 7.5¢ | -14.38 | $1.08 | |
| 2h | nojnn | No / 95.5¢ | +29.32 | $28 | |
| 2h | Colala | Yes / 4.5¢ | +29.32 | $1.32 | |
| 2h | doublejoker | No / 95.6¢ | +3.65 | $3.49 | |
| 2h | NoSteinNoGate | Yes / 4.4¢ | +3.65 | $0.16 | |
| 2h | 0xb034...36179f | No / 95.7¢ | +1.04 | $1.01 | |
| 2h | zxcursed121 | Yes / 4.3¢ | +1.04 | $0.04 | |
| 2h | Colala | Yes / 7.4¢ | -30.00 | $2.22 | |
| 2h | spodkaposk | Yes / 7.2¢ | -15.08 | $1.09 | |
| 2h | J25525 | No / 91.7¢ | +46.92 | $43 | |
| 2h | NumberF1V3 | Yes / 7.8¢ | +100.00 | $7.78 | |
| 2h | zxcursed121 | No / 92.7¢ | +8.00 | $7.42 | |
| 2h | seraphimproudleduck | Yes / 6.5¢ | -200.00 | $13 | |
| 2h | Colala | Yes / 6.6¢ | +30.00 | $1.98 | |
| 2h | Te0n2 | Yes / 6.5¢ | +150.00 | $9.75 | |
| 2h | zxcursed121 | Yes / 6.6¢ | +8.00 | $0.53 |
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