
Volume
$191K
Txns
2,032
Traders
344
Fees
$2
Liquidity
$37,750
Ends
Jun 10, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
No 100%$3.84Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 96%$18.2Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 85%$22.2Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$10.4Mvolume
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
No 100%$1.03Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$63.4Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24s | NellyDora | No / 95.1¢ | -0.02 | $0.02 | |
| 24s | Colala | Yes / 4.9¢ | -0.02 | $0 | |
| 26s | NellyDora | No / 95.1¢ | -0.01 | $0.01 | |
| 26s | NellyDora | No / 95.1¢ | -0.01 | $0.01 | |
| 26s | NellyDora | No / 95.1¢ | -0.27 | $0.26 | |
| 26s | Colala | Yes / 4.9¢ | -0.01 | $0 | |
| 26s | NellyDora | No / 95.1¢ | -0.05 | $0.05 | |
| 26s | Colala | Yes / 4.9¢ | -0.01 | $0 | |
| 26s | Colala | Yes / 4.9¢ | -0.27 | $0.01 | |
| 26s | Colala | Yes / 4.9¢ | -0.05 | $0 | |
| 32s | 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495 | No / 95.2¢ | +9.17 | $8.73 | |
| 32s | DelMos | No / 96.4¢ | +10.00 | $9.64 | |
| 32s | Turtleiny | No / 97.0¢ | +579.99 | $563 | |
| 32s | Esmememeralda | No / 95.5¢ | +40.00 | $38.2 | |
| 32s | TheVeiledOne | Yes / 3.1¢ | +639.16 | $20 | |
| 42s | 0x53F9dE87a41dE816daDD7103436B406c034880B7-1770817102841 | No / 97.0¢ | -0.07 | $0.07 | |
| 42s | Turtleiny | No / 97.0¢ | +0.07 | $0.07 | |
| 42s | Turtleiny | No / 97.0¢ | +0.04 | $0.04 | |
| 42s | 0x8c0d...b6a3ce | No / 96.0¢ | -0.04 | $0.04 | |
| 50s | Turtleiny | No / 97.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.85 | |
| 50s | G9vQK5Gcyx | No / 97.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.85 | |
| 53s | Turtleiny | No / 97.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.85 | |
| 53s | G9vQK5Gcyx | No / 97.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.85 | |
| 57s | 0xb4f6...5feada | No / 97.0¢ | -0.14 | $0.14 | |
| 57s | Turtleiny | No / 97.0¢ | +0.14 | $0.14 |
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