
Volume
$200K
Txns
2,142
Traders
354
Fees
$14
Liquidity
$46,039
Ends
Jul 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3m | Revered | No / 92.0¢ | +250.00 | $230 | |
| 3m | anoin123 | Yes / 8.0¢ | +250.00 | $20 | |
| 23m | anoin123 | Yes / 8.0¢ | +20.00 | $1.6 | |
| 23m | Blitzz- | No / 92.0¢ | +20.00 | $18.4 | |
| 30m | essence19910705 | No / 92.0¢ | +107.61 | $99 | |
| 30m | anoin123 | Yes / 8.0¢ | +107.61 | $8.61 | |
| 33m | HerculesZeus | No / 92.0¢ | +21.72 | $20 | |
| 33m | anoin123 | Yes / 8.0¢ | +21.72 | $1.74 | |
| 53m | anoin123 | Yes / 8.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.4 | |
| 53m | spida111 | No / 92.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.6 | |
| 53m | anoin123 | Yes / 8.0¢ | +6,000.00 | $480 | |
| 53m | thoodr | No / 92.0¢ | +6,000.00 | $5.52K | |
| 1h | 0x0c70...f314a8 | Yes / 9.0¢ | +11.11 | $1 | |
| 1h | LordBiBi | Yes / 9.0¢ | -11.11 | $1 | |
| 1h | essence19910705 | No / 92.0¢ | +134.11 | $123 | |
| 1h | anoin123 | Yes / 8.0¢ | +134.11 | $10.7 | |
| 2h | KickstandBot | No / 92.0¢ | -40.00 | $36.8 | |
| 2h | 0x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-1777882786715 | No / 92.0¢ | -44.15 | $40.6 | |
| 2h | facai168888 | No / 92.0¢ | +84.15 | $77.4 | |
| 2h | LordBiBi | Yes / 9.0¢ | -22.22 | $2 | |
| 2h | mironski | Yes / 9.0¢ | +22.22 | $2 | |
| 2h | 0x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-1777882786715 | No / 92.0¢ | -10.87 | $10 | |
| 2h | dimasximik | No / 92.0¢ | +10.87 | $10 | |
| 2h | LordBiBi | Yes / 8.0¢ | -69.00 | $5.52 | |
| 2h | 0x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-1777882786715 | No / 92.0¢ | -69.00 | $63.5 |
1–25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 74%$0volume
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 76%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 99%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 87%$0volume
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
No 81%$0volume
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
No 73%$0volume