
Volume
$42K
Txns
815
Traders
181
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of India and Pakistan between November 11, 11:00 AM ET, and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force, such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Indian and Pakistani military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes 89%$62Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 94%$35.4Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes 100%$14.4Mvolume
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Yes 100%$4.43Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 72%$24.2Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Yes 100%$3.46Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | blunderbot | No / 99.9¢ | -8.01 | $8 | |
| 6mo | iamlosing1111 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 6mo | MUFAi | No / 99.9¢ | +218.01 | $218 | |
| 6mo | daroghi | Yes / 0.4¢ | -3.45 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | Slackjaw | No / 99.6¢ | -3.45 | $3.44 | |
| 6mo | blunderbot | No / 98.5¢ | +8.01 | $7.89 | |
| 6mo | Kariya | No / 98.5¢ | -8.01 | $7.89 | |
| 6mo | Alta-trola | No / 99.9¢ | -70.00 | $69.9 | |
| 6mo | -0- | No / 99.9¢ | +70.00 | $69.9 | |
| 6mo | 0xRocket666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +125.20 | $0.13 | |
| 6mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,088.00 | $1.09 | |
| 6mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 6mo | daystay | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | gdyhv | No / 99.9¢ | -789.20 | $788 | |
| 6mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +136.00 | $0.14 | |
| 6mo | iamlosing1111 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | -0- | No / 99.9¢ | +2,658.40 | $2.66K | |
| 6mo | JAISHREE.RAM.JAI.SANWARIYA.SETH.JAIBAJRANG | No / 99.8¢ | -19.50 | $19.5 | |
| 6mo | -0- | No / 99.8¢ | +19.50 | $19.5 | |
| 6mo | -a- | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | 0xRocket666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 6mo | -a- | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | 0xRocket666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 6mo | 0xRocket666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 |
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