
Volume
$177K
Txns
2,733
Traders
536
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Any model owned by Google has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. - Google Gemini 3 scores at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam - Gemini 3 scores at least 40% on FrontierMath Benchmark Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Google+Gemini+Parlay.pdf
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | p1erekup | No / 99.1¢ | -31.54 | $31.3 | |
| 5mo | hunggin | No / 99.1¢ | +31.54 | $31.3 | |
| 5mo | vvrjmaakf73q | No / 97.9¢ | -5.07 | $4.96 | |
| 5mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 2.1¢ | -5.07 | $0.11 | |
| 5mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 1.4¢ | +5.07 | $0.07 | |
| 5mo | 25oodksmsss09 | Yes / 2.0¢ | +50.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 1.4¢ | +5.07 | $0.07 | |
| 5mo | 5toparfra1cl | No / 98.6¢ | +5.07 | $5 | |
| 5mo | 0xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941 | No / 98.0¢ | +1,021.83 | $1K | |
| 5mo | TaishanTrades | No / 98.0¢ | -971.83 | $952 | |
| 5mo | vvrjmaakf73q | No / 98.6¢ | +5.07 | $5 | |
| 5mo | p1erekup | No / 98.0¢ | +24.75 | $24.3 | |
| 5mo | TaishanTrades | No / 98.0¢ | -24.75 | $24.3 | |
| 5mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 1.8¢ | -45.00 | $0.81 | |
| 5mo | hunggin | No / 98.1¢ | +100.00 | $98.1 | |
| 5mo | 25oodksmsss09 | Yes / 1.8¢ | -5.61 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 1.7¢ | -8.41 | $0.14 | |
| 5mo | p1erekup | No / 98.4¢ | +6.78 | $6.67 | |
| 5mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 1.8¢ | -5.09 | $0.09 | |
| 5mo | TaishanTrades | No / 98.2¢ | -170.89 | $168 | |
| 5mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.6¢ | -5.02 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | p1erekup | No / 99.4¢ | -5.02 | $4.99 | |
| 5mo | Minalll | No / 98.5¢ | -5.03 | $4.95 | |
| 5mo | p1erekup | No / 98.5¢ | +5.03 | $4.95 | |
| 5mo | Rubrum369 | No / 97.8¢ | -5.00 | $4.89 |
1–25
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct…
Yes 71%$0volume
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
No 100%$0volume
Nothing Ever Happens: July
Nothing 72%$0volume
Natural Disaster in 2026?
No 89%$0volume
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
No 99%$0volume
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
No 100%$0volume