
Volume
$374K
Txns
1,353
Traders
253
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 31, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between July 15 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for October 2025, currently scheduled for October 28–29. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no September meeting takes place by November 5 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut is announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$18.4Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 93%$18.3Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 99%$6.82Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$5.95Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 73%$3.7Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 72%$996Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8mo | llepota | No / 0.1¢ | +1,500.00 | $1.5 | |
| 8mo | trademalia | No / 0.1¢ | -1,127.38 | $1.13 | |
| 8mo | Debosnys | Yes / 99.9¢ | +372.62 | $372 | |
| 8mo | Debosnys | Yes / 99.9¢ | +15.10 | $15.1 | |
| 8mo | SOLOFUTURETRAVELER | Yes / 99.9¢ | -15.10 | $15.1 | |
| 8mo | Debosnys | Yes / 99.9¢ | +167.28 | $167 | |
| 8mo | HyperPoor | Yes / 99.9¢ | -167.28 | $167 | |
| 8mo | primerotestpoli | No / 0.1¢ | +1,100.00 | $1.1 | |
| 8mo | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,100.00 | $1.1K | |
| 8mo | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +8.43 | $8.42 | |
| 8mo | HolyMoses7 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +132.15 | $132 | |
| 8mo | BTCisaHarshMistress | Yes / 99.9¢ | -140.58 | $140 | |
| 8mo | HolyMoses7 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +89.85 | $89.8 | |
| 8mo | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +89.85 | $0.09 | |
| 8mo | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +150.15 | $0.15 | |
| 8mo | HyperPoor | Yes / 99.9¢ | +150.15 | $150 | |
| 8mo | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +240.00 | $0.24 | |
| 8mo | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +240.00 | $240 | |
| 8mo | ilovecircle | Yes / 99.9¢ | +40,021.00 | $40K | |
| 8mo | trademalia | No / 0.1¢ | +40,021.00 | $40 | |
| 8mo | trademalia | No / 0.1¢ | +9,979.00 | $9.98 | |
| 8mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | No / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.9¢ | +9,999.00 | $9.99K | |
| 8mo | oggogogo008 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 8mo | Evador | No / 0.4¢ | +30.00 | $0.12 |
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