
Volume
$2M
Txns
10,146
Traders
1,374
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 18, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for March 2026, currently scheduled for March 17-18. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no March meeting takes place by April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 82%$5.45Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 83%$5.39Mvolume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 77%$6.09Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No 98%$122Kvolume
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes 51%$3.04Mvolume
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
No 55%$34.5Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | Baniyatrader | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | debased | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 3mo | HZYTG | No / 99.9¢ | +102.10 | $102 | |
| 3mo | Bearpp | No / 99.9¢ | +148.35 | $148 | |
| 3mo | Zzdl | No / 99.9¢ | +102.13 | $102 | |
| 3mo | debased | No / 99.9¢ | +647.42 | $647 | |
| 3mo | cronemulator | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | Bearpp | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | rikitikitaki | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | debased | No / 99.9¢ | +7,834.08 | $7.83K | |
| 3mo | yangguang0511 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,500.00 | $2.5 | |
| 3mo | laotou1b | No / 99.9¢ | -60.53 | $60.5 | |
| 3mo | jjzzh | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | 0xRocket666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 3mo | qnan8v1v | No / 99.9¢ | -66.17 | $66.1 | |
| 3mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +911.00 | $0.91 | |
| 3mo | uncleroger | No / 99.9¢ | -599.45 | $599 | |
| 3mo | oldbody1ni | No / 99.9¢ | -96.40 | $96.3 | |
| 3mo | lionbear | No / 99.9¢ | -56.42 | $56.4 | |
| 3mo | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3,000.00 | $3 | |
| 3mo | usmaga | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 3mo | sdfjsk291r | No / 99.9¢ | -56.13 | $56.1 | |
| 3mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | aluo81tt | No / 99.9¢ | -62.98 | $62.9 | |
| 3mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 |
1–25