
Volume
$10,364
Txns
394
Traders
56
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$16,919
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized. A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance. The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Yes 100% · $12.3M volume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 97% · $13M volume
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
No 99% · $2.4M volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
No 95% · $4.78M volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
No 100% · $35.1M volume
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
No 90% · $8.52M volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5m | 0x238f...983015 | Yes / 17.0¢ | -4.00 | $0.68 | |
| 5m | ScissorsDefense | Yes / 17.0¢ | -84.61 | $14.4 | |
| 5m | Revered | No / 83.0¢ | -88.61 | $73.5 | |
| 3h | 0x238f...983015 | Yes / 17.0¢ | -6.00 | $1.02 | |
| 3h | Fence-sitter | Yes / 17.0¢ | +6.00 | $1.02 | |
| 4h | Laribobibo | No / 81.0¢ | +40.00 | $32.4 | |
| 4h | olekslie | No / 81.0¢ | -40.00 | $32.4 | |
| 5h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 84.0¢ | -100.00 | $84 | |
| 5h | vivi4024 | Yes / 16.0¢ | -100.00 | $16 | |
| 5h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 84.0¢ | -10.00 | $8.4 | |
| 5h | vivi4024 | Yes / 16.0¢ | -10.00 | $1.6 | |
| 5h | dijosaunpfoiu9 | No / 82.0¢ | +5.95 | $4.88 | |
| 5h | 0x259e...4439f2 | No / 81.2¢ | -5.95 | $4.83 | |
| 5h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 84.0¢ | -5.95 | $5 | |
| 5h | 0x259e...4439f2 | No / 84.7¢ | +5.90 | $5 | |
| 5h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 79.0¢ | +5.00 | $3.95 | |
| 5h | divinets | No / 79.0¢ | -5.00 | $3.95 | |
| 5h | dijosaunpfoiu9 | Yes / 17.0¢ | +8.00 | $1.36 | |
| 5h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 84.0¢ | -1,073.80 | $902 | |
| 5h | SWEET-glass | Yes / 16.0¢ | -1,081.80 | $173 | |
| 5h | dijosaunpfoiu9 | No / 81.0¢ | +8.00 | $6.48 | |
| 5h | divinets | Yes / 20.0¢ | -20.00 | $4 | |
| 5h | SWEET-glass | Yes / 19.7¢ | +28.00 | $5.52 | |
| 5h | dijosaunpfoiu9 | No / 88.0¢ | +8.00 | $7.04 | |
| 5h | 0xb52c...5c23f1 | Yes / 13.0¢ | -121.64 | $15.8 |
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