
Volume
$29K
Txns
521
Traders
149
Fees
$0
Ends
Sep 30, 2024
On September 15, there was an incident in which a suspect was detained in connection to shots fired at Trump's golf course. This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that the September 15th shooter at Trump's golf course was a foreign actor—namely, someone acting under the direction or sponsorship of a foreign government or organization. This market will resolve to "No" if it is confirmed that the shooter was not a foreign actor and had no foreign connections. This market will resolve once there have been statements from the U.S. Secret Service or FBI confirming whether the shooter was a foreign actor. If there has been no definitive statement by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what the Secret Service and FBI believe was most likely - if they have not indicated the suspect was a foreign actor, the market would resolve to "No." The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, with priority given to official statements from the U.S. Secret Service and FBI.
Trades
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 76%$0volume
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes 52%$0volume
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No 69%$0volume
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
No 94%$0volume
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 91%$0volume
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | FrankyFourFingers | No / 99.5¢ | +6.00 | $5.97 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.5¢ | +6.00 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.4¢ | -10.05 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | Shirogoroff | Yes / 0.4¢ | +10.05 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.5¢ | +5.03 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | xuxun18 | No / 99.5¢ | +5.03 | $5 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.5¢ | +5.03 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | buj1 | No / 99.5¢ | +5.03 | $5 | |
| 1y | Klein-Bottle-Capital-Management | No / 99.2¢ | -406.05 | $403 | |
| 1y | kingfisher | No / 99.2¢ | +106.05 | $105 | |
| 1y | Shirogoroff | Yes / 0.8¢ | -300.00 | $2.4 | |
| 1y | degenguy | No / 99.5¢ | +83.85 | $83.4 | |
| 1y | whynoty | Yes / 0.5¢ | +83.85 | $0.42 | |
| 1y | electionnn | No / 99.5¢ | +100.00 | $99.5 | |
| 1y | whynoty | Yes / 0.5¢ | +100.00 | $0.5 | |
| 1y | whynoty | Yes / 0.5¢ | +55.00 | $0.28 | |
| 1y | leihou | No / 99.5¢ | +55.00 | $54.7 | |
| 1y | gofastt | No / 99.5¢ | +32.79 | $32.6 | |
| 1y | whynoty | Yes / 0.5¢ | +32.79 | $0.16 | |
| 1y | whynoty | Yes / 0.5¢ | +0.01 | $0 | |
| 1y | nejttflw | No / 99.5¢ | +0.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | sogamood | No / 99.3¢ | +0.68 | $0.68 | |
| 1y | eldkfiye | No / 99.3¢ | -0.68 | $0.68 | |
| 1y | eldkfiye | No / 99.5¢ | +0.68 | $0.68 | |
| 1y | whynoty | Yes / 0.5¢ | +0.68 | $0 |
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