
Volume
$19K
Txns
378
Traders
93
Fees
$0
Ends
Sep 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the Israeli airstrike on Qatar on September 9, 2025, was conducted with aerial refueling support provided by the United States. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official statements from the U.S. confirming participation in refueling will qualify. If no broad consensus has been reached by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, with priority given to official statements from relevant and reputable investigative agencies.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 84%$30.1Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 99%$5.93Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 59%$27.3Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 83%$20.9Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.98Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
No 53%$8.21Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8mo | 00000000AAAAAAAA | Yes / 0.1¢ | +228.42 | $0.23 | |
| 8mo | 00000000AAAAAAAA | Yes / 0.1¢ | +300.30 | $0.3 | |
| 8mo | 0xc45A | No / 99.9¢ | +228.42 | $228 | |
| 8mo | 0xc45A | No / 99.9¢ | +300.30 | $300 | |
| 8mo | 00000000AAAAAAAA | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.01 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | burnurbackyard | No / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 8mo | Ahpo | No / 99.9¢ | +14.29 | $14.3 | |
| 8mo | 00000000AAAAAAAA | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.29 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | 00000000AAAAAAAA | Yes / 0.1¢ | +11.51 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | Ahpo | No / 99.9¢ | +11.51 | $11.5 | |
| 8mo | Ahpo | No / 99.9¢ | +1,157.00 | $1.16K | |
| 8mo | 00000000AAAAAAAA | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,157.00 | $1.16 | |
| 8mo | 00000000AAAAAAAA | Yes / 0.1¢ | +111.00 | $0.11 | |
| 8mo | Ahpo | No / 99.9¢ | +111.00 | $111 | |
| 8mo | peregiri00 | No / 99.5¢ | -5.00 | $4.97 | |
| 8mo | mountaingreen | Yes / 0.5¢ | -5.00 | $0.03 | |
| 8mo | 00000000AAAAAAAA | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | peregiri00 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 8mo | 00000000AAAAAAAA | Yes / 0.1¢ | +111.00 | $0.11 | |
| 8mo | Ahpo | No / 99.9¢ | +111.00 | $111 | |
| 8mo | Ahpo | No / 99.9¢ | +111.00 | $111 | |
| 8mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4.53 | $0 | |
| 8mo | 00000000AAAAAAAA | Yes / 0.1¢ | +51.47 | $0.05 | |
| 8mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +25.00 | $0.03 | |
| 8mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +11.00 | $0.01 |
1–25