
Volume
$55K
Txns
564
Traders
121
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next DeepSeek V model is made available to the general public by April 28, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count. The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3. Only releases representing a core version progression in the DeepSeek V series, “clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3,” will qualify. Other models, such as derivative models (e.g., "V4-Lite," "V4-Mini"), task-specialized models, R-series reasoning models, and experimental or preview releases (e.g., "V4-Exp," "V4-Preview"), that are not positioned as the new V flagship model, will not qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$189Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.21Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$117Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
No 100%$74.9Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 100%$120Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 89%$1.85Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | 0x7b64e09f384b07534dfF21859A0d27b823aE8440-1774472209075 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.01 | $5 | |
| 1mo | Ahpo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.01 | $5 | |
| 1mo | LuckyPierrot | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5,000.76 | $5K | |
| 1mo | dube | Yes / 99.9¢ | -0.76 | $0.76 | |
| 1mo | iusedtowritepoetryforaliving | No / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 1mo | 0xRocket666 | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1mo | dube | Yes / 99.9¢ | -62.27 | $62.2 | |
| 1mo | vinii | Yes / 99.9¢ | +272.27 | $272 | |
| 1mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | Cloverince | Yes / 99.8¢ | +1,034.00 | $1.03K | |
| 1mo | taerv534 | No / 0.2¢ | +1,024.00 | $2.05 | |
| 1mo | LetTheGoodTimesRoll | No / 0.2¢ | +10.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | LetTheGoodTimesRoll | No / 0.4¢ | +10.00 | $0.04 | |
| 1mo | calm.rabbit | Yes / 99.5¢ | -125.37 | $125 | |
| 1mo | BrightStars | Yes / 99.6¢ | +391.37 | $390 | |
| 1mo | taerv534 | No / 0.4¢ | +256.00 | $1.02 | |
| 1mo | taerv534 | No / 0.8¢ | +58.60 | $0.47 | |
| 1mo | LetTheGoodTimesRoll | No / 0.8¢ | +10.00 | $0.08 | |
| 1mo | LetTheGoodTimesRoll | No / 0.6¢ | +10.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1mo | BrightStars | Yes / 99.2¢ | +78.60 | $78 | |
| 1mo | molodoyy | Yes / 99.0¢ | -16.34 | $16.2 | |
| 1mo | 0x71e1...f945f0 | Yes / 99.0¢ | +16.34 | $16.2 | |
| 1mo | KarlikPatrick | No / 1.0¢ | -20.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1mo | 0xA3c2EC158F222F3F4f5F4f57b113d761a4D3df3d-1774679893278 | No / 1.0¢ | +20.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1mo | ACara | No / 1.5¢ | -5.98 | $0.09 |
1–25