
Volume
$49K
Txns
1,878
Traders
427
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next DeepSeek R model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-R1.5) will not count, however versions such as DeepSeek R2 or R3 will count. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the next DeepSeek R model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public. The "next DeepSeek R model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek R series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-R1, the latest publicly known model as of January 2025. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 96%$0volume
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 74%$0volume
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 76%$0volume
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No 89%$0volume
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
No 92%$0volume
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No 93%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | LBZero | No / 99.8¢ | -51.00 | $50.9 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | No / 99.8¢ | +51.00 | $50.9 | |
| 1y | AreWeNotEntertained | No / 99.8¢ | +1,177.97 | $1.18K | |
| 1y | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +96.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1,031.97 | $2.06 | |
| 1y | wisagan | No / 99.7¢ | +50.00 | $49.9 | |
| 1y | 0x74a292 | No / 99.7¢ | -40.45 | $40.3 | |
| 1y | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.2¢ | +9.55 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | ArcLing | No / 99.7¢ | +5.55 | $5.53 | |
| 1y | 0x74a292 | No / 99.7¢ | -5.55 | $5.53 | |
| 1y | 0x74a292 | No / 99.7¢ | -4.00 | $3.99 | |
| 1y | wanderingserval | Yes / 0.3¢ | -4.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.2¢ | +208.48 | $0.42 | |
| 1y | BorshKing | Yes / 0.5¢ | +74.08 | $0.37 | |
| 1y | Qualitative | Yes / 0.3¢ | -282.56 | $0.79 | |
| 1y | smurfeta | No / 97.9¢ | -12.21 | $12 | |
| 1y | Qualitative | Yes / 2.1¢ | -12.21 | $0.26 | |
| 1y | Qualitative | Yes / 8.1¢ | -102.00 | $8.26 | |
| 1y | rocky42003 | Yes / 8.1¢ | +102.00 | $8.26 | |
| 1y | chatgpt.com | Yes / 5.4¢ | -136.62 | $7.38 | |
| 1y | chatgpt.com | Yes / 5.5¢ | -50.15 | $2.76 | |
| 1y | Qualitative | Yes / 5.4¢ | +396.77 | $21.5 | |
| 1y | smurfeta | No / 94.7¢ | +10.00 | $9.47 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 94.6¢ | +200.00 | $189 |
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