
Volume
$48K
Txns
1,590
Traders
307
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 1, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States enacts an Authorization for Use of Military Force (AUMF) specifically targeting Iran between June 23, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, both chambers of Congress must pass, and the President (currently Donald Trump) must sign into law, a bill that explicitly authorizes the use of U.S. military force against Iran. The authorization does not need to use the exact phrase “Authorization for Use of Military Force,” but it must clearly and specifically authorize military action against Iran as a state actor. General defense appropriations, intelligence findings, covert action approvals, or broader regional authorizations that do not explicitly pertain to Iran will not qualify. Presidential orders or military action without such a law being passed and signed will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official U.S. government records (e.g., Congress.gov, White House releases) however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | Ignisss | Yes / 0.1¢ | +58.51 | $0.06 | |
| 7mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +83.00 | $0.08 | |
| 7mo | jesterthegoose | No / 99.9¢ | +1,849.00 | $1.85K | |
| 7mo | Oddinn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +48.67 | $0.05 | |
| 7mo | ObsidianPM | Yes / 0.1¢ | +49.79 | $0.05 | |
| 7mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | Yukaii | Yes / 0.1¢ | +58.65 | $0.06 | |
| 7mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.30 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 7mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +61.00 | $0.06 | |
| 7mo | wks118 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 7mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +36.00 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +18.00 | $0.02 | |
| 7mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +41.26 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +29.00 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +57.51 | $0.06 | |
| 7mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 7mo | Snpe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.89 | $0.05 | |
| 7mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +38.66 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +33.50 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +21.00 | $0.02 | |
| 7mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +43.19 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +22.30 | $0.02 | |
| 7mo | Rlso | Yes / 0.1¢ | +47.86 | $0.05 |
1–25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 76%$0volume
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?
Yes 100%$0volume
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
Yes 98%$0volume
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?
Yes 99%$0volume
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
No 99%$0volume
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
Yes 93%$0volume