
Volume
$166K
Txns
2,758
Traders
620
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if authentic helmet/body-cam video footage recorded after January 2 that shows U.S. forces physically capturing (taking into custody) President Nicolás Maduro in Venezuela is made widely available to the public by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if such capture footage becomes widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or published by media. Qualifying footage must be at least 5 seconds in length and depict the moment Maduro is physically apprehended or restrained (or immediately thereafter while still at/within the capture location in Venezuela) in a way that makes it clear from the video that the operation is effecting his capture. Footage of Maduro already in custody outside Venezuela (e.g., aboard a ship/aircraft, at an airport, or at a U.S. facility) will not count unless it also includes the initial apprehension in Venezuela. Still images alone will not count. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 73%$32Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$6.32Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 52%$27.9Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$66.2Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 78%$21.2Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$6.09Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | blunderbot | No / 99.9¢ | -42.62 | $42.6 | |
| 4mo | KimiTalibantonelli | No / 99.9¢ | +42.62 | $42.6 | |
| 4mo | blunderbot | No / 99.9¢ | -10.01 | $10 | |
| 4mo | 324Auro | No / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 4mo | blunderbot | No / 99.9¢ | -97.29 | $97.2 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +54.95 | $0.11 | |
| 4mo | blunderbot | No / 99.9¢ | -47.76 | $47.7 | |
| 4mo | 0x6187a60063025Fe0190af60Fe57110f4CbD7e57F-1767739401182 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -200.00 | $0.25 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +15.93 | $0.03 | |
| 4mo | 0x6187a60063025Fe0190af60Fe57110f4CbD7e57F-1767739401182 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +2.96 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +32.36 | $0.06 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +18.66 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +16.79 | $0.03 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +13.30 | $0.03 | |
| 4mo | lacabr | Yes / 0.6¢ | -6.25 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.6¢ | +6.25 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | Bearpp | No / 99.6¢ | +2.00 | $1.99 | |
| 4mo | 0x849f...38b79a | No / 99.6¢ | -2.00 | $1.99 | |
| 4mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.85 | $0 | |
| 4mo | blunderbot | No / 99.9¢ | -3.10 | $3.1 | |
| 4mo | 0x5d9f...73ccc5 | No / 99.9¢ | +4.95 | $4.95 | |
| 4mo | 0x2e69...2f200e | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | 0x5ecd...647e72 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 |
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