
Volume
$2K
Txns
120
Traders
45
Fees
$24
Liquidity
$5,278
Ends
Jan 1, 2028
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | nastynian | No / 80.0¢ | -97.25 | $77.8 | |
| 2d | alexgg1 | No / 80.0¢ | +97.25 | $78.9 | |
| 3d | AJSV | No / 97.0¢ | -6.00 | $5.82 | |
| 3d | 0xwordjnn | Yes / 2.8¢ | -70.86 | $1.98 | |
| 3d | AJSV | Yes / 3.0¢ | +64.86 | $1.95 | |
| 7d | Sudowoodo | Yes / 19.0¢ | -40.00 | $7.6 | |
| 7d | nastynian | No / 79.2¢ | -61.00 | $48.3 | |
| 7d | hoyuij | Yes / 21.0¢ | -21.00 | $4.41 | |
| 7d | topwu | Yes / 25.6¢ | -21.00 | $5.38 | |
| 7d | hoyuij | Yes / 27.0¢ | +21.00 | $5.67 | |
| 7d | topwu | Yes / 27.0¢ | +21.00 | $5.67 | |
| 7d | 26kmhou | Yes / 25.6¢ | -21.00 | $5.38 | |
| 7d | L.X | Yes / 28.0¢ | +20.00 | $5.6 | |
| 7d | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 27.0¢ | +70.00 | $18.9 | |
| 7d | TerranSupremacy | No / 71.0¢ | -6.82 | $4.84 | |
| 7d | freedom69 | Yes / 27.0¢ | +20.00 | $5.4 | |
| 7d | TerranSupremacy | No / 73.0¢ | -6.82 | $4.98 | |
| 7d | Sudowoodo | Yes / 29.0¢ | +20.00 | $5.8 | |
| 7d | 0xwordjnn | Yes / 27.0¢ | +70.86 | $19.1 | |
| 7d | Sudowoodo | Yes / 29.0¢ | +20.00 | $5.8 | |
| 7d | nastynian | No / 72.5¢ | +255.50 | $189 | |
| 7d | 26kmhou | Yes / 28.0¢ | +21.00 | $5.88 | |
| 8d | TerranSupremacy | No / 74.0¢ | -1.35 | $1 | |
| 8d | fi5h | No / 74.0¢ | +1.35 | $1.02 | |
| 10d | mtm6 | Yes / 30.0¢ | -6.00 | $1.8 |
1–25
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?
No 100%$163Kvolume
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
No 74%$50.8Kvolume
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
Yes 59%$43.5Kvolume
Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch?
No 83%$1.25Kvolume
Arc FDV above $7B one day after launch?
No 100%$412volume
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes 83%$13.2Kvolume