CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)

Open6 markets·Ends Nov 4, 2026

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$5K

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218

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Fees

$29

Midterms Nov 4 Elections House Elections California Midterm

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Markets

Market				Ends
Mike Thompson	78%	$2.1K	$12.4K	Nov 4, 2026
Eric Jones	17%	$192	$11.5K	Nov 4, 2026
Other	YesResolved	$0	$0	Nov 4, 2026
Candidate B	YesResolved	$0	$0	Nov 4, 2026
Candidate A	YesResolved	$0	$0	Nov 4, 2026
Candidate C	YesResolved	$0	$0	Nov 4, 2026

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
1h	Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat?	Haradwaith	No / 83.0¢	+20.00	$16.6
1h	Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat?	0 Margo078	No / 82.4¢	-20.00	$16.5
1h	Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat?	Haradwaith	No / 83.0¢	+31.88	$26.5
1h	Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat?	0 sheckarb	Yes / 17.0¢	+148.88	$26.2
1h	Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat?	0 Margo078	No / 83.0¢	+20.00	$16.6
1h	Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat?	0 pootytherewardfarmer	No / 83.0¢	+97.00	$80.5
5h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 Bodytobody	Yes / 77.3¢	-20.00	$15.5
5h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 0xCEe6b99b9AE4139d4776E4408A6FaF29A9898233-1782140933371	Yes / 78.0¢	+20.00	$15.6
5h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 0xCEe6b99b9AE4139d4776E4408A6FaF29A9898233-1782140933371	Yes / 78.0¢	+176.06	$137
5h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 resilience26	Yes / 79.0¢	+83.00	$65.6
5h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 0x2B733d127F58809eCF9917100A7F7A946F6F174E-1774267513940	No / 21.6¢	+288.76	$64.4
5h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 Bodytobody	Yes / 79.0¢	+20.00	$15.8
5h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 Mojito9	No / 21.0¢	-9.70	$2.04
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 resilience26	Yes / 84.0¢	+37.00	$31.1
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 longdated-poli	Yes / 83.5¢	-37.00	$30.9
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 0xA158c	Yes / 83.5¢	-20.00	$16.7
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 resilience26	Yes / 84.0¢	+20.00	$16.8
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 0xA158c	Yes / 85.0¢	+20.00	$17
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 resilience26	Yes / 84.0¢	+20.00	$16.8
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 0x2B733d127F58809eCF9917100A7F7A946F6F174E-1774267513940	No / 15.0¢	+20.00	$3.1
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 0x2B733d127F58809eCF9917100A7F7A946F6F174E-1774267513940	No / 16.0¢	+20.00	$3.31
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 longdated-poli	Yes / 85.0¢	+87.23	$74.1
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	Zachattack500	No / 14.3¢	+624.55	$92.6
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 0x2B733d127F58809eCF9917100A7F7A946F6F174E-1774267513940	Yes / 86.0¢	+300.00	$258
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	Haradwaith	Yes / 85.0¢	+126.00	$107
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 SitsToPee	Yes / 86.0¢	+111.32	$95.7
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 oliman2	No / 14.0¢	+100.00	$14.5
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 SitsToPee	Yes / 86.0¢	+100.00	$86
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 SitsToPee	Yes / 86.0¢	+88.68	$76.3
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 WineDarkC	No / 14.0¢	-61.32	$8.58
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 oliman2	No / 14.0¢	+150.00	$21.7
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 nibblemaxxing	No / 14.0¢	+49.14	$7.12
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 WineDarkC	No / 14.0¢	-49.14	$6.88
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 wfsxfwetrdsf	Yes / 85.5¢	-71.99	$61.6
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 dropmeplease	No / 14.0¢	-6.46	$0.9
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 WineDarkC	No / 14.0¢	-65.53	$9.17
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	Dr.PNL	Yes / 87.0¢	+83.01	$72.2
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 wfsxfwetrdsf	Yes / 86.5¢	-83.01	$71.8
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 dropmeplease	No / 14.0¢	-20.00	$2.8
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 ViscaElBarca	Yes / 85.5¢	-20.00	$17.1
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 eatMaker	Yes / 86.5¢	-20.00	$17.3
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 ViscaElBarca	Yes / 87.0¢	+20.00	$17.4
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 oliman2	No / 13.0¢	+100.00	$13.5
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 0xd823721597A464008050819ECC2d6C2c43E512fE-1782111812111	No / 13.0¢	-5.00	$0.65
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 oliman2	No / 13.0¢	+150.00	$20.2
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 wfsxfwetrdsf	Yes / 87.0¢	+55.00	$47.9
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	J25525	No / 13.0¢	-20.00	$2.6
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 nibblemaxxing	Yes / 87.0¢	+50.00	$43.5
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 eatMaker	Yes / 87.0¢	+20.00	$17.4
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 wfsxfwetrdsf	Yes / 87.0¢	+100.00	$87

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
1h	Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat?	Haradwaith	No / 83.0¢	+20.00	$16.6
1h	Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat?	0 Margo078	No / 82.4¢	-20.00	$16.5
1h	Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat?	Haradwaith	No / 83.0¢	+31.88	$26.5
1h	Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat?	0 sheckarb	Yes / 17.0¢	+148.88	$26.2
1h	Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat?	0 Margo078	No / 83.0¢	+20.00	$16.6
1h	Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat?	0 pootytherewardfarmer	No / 83.0¢	+97.00	$80.5
5h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 Bodytobody	Yes / 77.3¢	-20.00	$15.5
5h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 0xCEe6b99b9AE4139d4776E4408A6FaF29A9898233-1782140933371	Yes / 78.0¢	+20.00	$15.6
5h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 0xCEe6b99b9AE4139d4776E4408A6FaF29A9898233-1782140933371	Yes / 78.0¢	+176.06	$137
5h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 resilience26	Yes / 79.0¢	+83.00	$65.6
5h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 0x2B733d127F58809eCF9917100A7F7A946F6F174E-1774267513940	No / 21.6¢	+288.76	$64.4
5h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 Bodytobody	Yes / 79.0¢	+20.00	$15.8
5h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 Mojito9	No / 21.0¢	-9.70	$2.04
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 resilience26	Yes / 84.0¢	+37.00	$31.1
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 longdated-poli	Yes / 83.5¢	-37.00	$30.9
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 0xA158c	Yes / 83.5¢	-20.00	$16.7
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 resilience26	Yes / 84.0¢	+20.00	$16.8
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 0xA158c	Yes / 85.0¢	+20.00	$17
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 resilience26	Yes / 84.0¢	+20.00	$16.8
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 0x2B733d127F58809eCF9917100A7F7A946F6F174E-1774267513940	No / 15.0¢	+20.00	$3.1
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 0x2B733d127F58809eCF9917100A7F7A946F6F174E-1774267513940	No / 16.0¢	+20.00	$3.31
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 longdated-poli	Yes / 85.0¢	+87.23	$74.1
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	Zachattack500	No / 14.3¢	+624.55	$92.6
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 0x2B733d127F58809eCF9917100A7F7A946F6F174E-1774267513940	Yes / 86.0¢	+300.00	$258
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	Haradwaith	Yes / 85.0¢	+126.00	$107
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 SitsToPee	Yes / 86.0¢	+111.32	$95.7
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 oliman2	No / 14.0¢	+100.00	$14.5
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 SitsToPee	Yes / 86.0¢	+100.00	$86
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 SitsToPee	Yes / 86.0¢	+88.68	$76.3
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 WineDarkC	No / 14.0¢	-61.32	$8.58
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 oliman2	No / 14.0¢	+150.00	$21.7
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 nibblemaxxing	No / 14.0¢	+49.14	$7.12
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 WineDarkC	No / 14.0¢	-49.14	$6.88
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 wfsxfwetrdsf	Yes / 85.5¢	-71.99	$61.6
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 dropmeplease	No / 14.0¢	-6.46	$0.9
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 WineDarkC	No / 14.0¢	-65.53	$9.17
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	Dr.PNL	Yes / 87.0¢	+83.01	$72.2
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 wfsxfwetrdsf	Yes / 86.5¢	-83.01	$71.8
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 dropmeplease	No / 14.0¢	-20.00	$2.8
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 ViscaElBarca	Yes / 85.5¢	-20.00	$17.1
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 eatMaker	Yes / 86.5¢	-20.00	$17.3
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 ViscaElBarca	Yes / 87.0¢	+20.00	$17.4
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 oliman2	No / 13.0¢	+100.00	$13.5
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 0xd823721597A464008050819ECC2d6C2c43E512fE-1782111812111	No / 13.0¢	-5.00	$0.65
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 oliman2	No / 13.0¢	+150.00	$20.2
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 wfsxfwetrdsf	Yes / 87.0¢	+55.00	$47.9
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	J25525	No / 13.0¢	-20.00	$2.6
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 nibblemaxxing	Yes / 87.0¢	+50.00	$43.5
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 eatMaker	Yes / 87.0¢	+20.00	$17.4
6h	Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	0 wfsxfwetrdsf	Yes / 87.0¢	+100.00	$87

CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)

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CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)

Markets

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CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)

Probability history

Markets

Recent trades

CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)

Probability history

Probability history

Markets

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Recent trades

Recent trades

Probability history