keenalligator Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

Explorer

Loading open positions...

Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? YesPolitics 50.00 shares	4.7¢ / 0.2¢	-$2.25 (-95.7%)	$2.35 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 9:33 PM
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? YesEconomics 5.00 shares	49.4¢ / 45.7¢	$17.1 (39.5%)	$42.9 · 9	$58.2 · 5	$0	Jul 28, 2026 6:16 PM
Will EUR/USD hit 1.12 (Low) in 2026? YesFinance 7.44 shares	50.0¢ / 74.0¢	$1.79 (48.0%)	$3.72 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 19, 2026 6:10 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.40% (HIGH) in April? WonYesPolitics	16.9¢ / 100.0¢	$152 (426.7%)	$35.3 · 9	$7.56 · 4	$0	Apr 30, 2026 10:16 PM
US forces enter Iran by April 30? WonYesPolitics	61.0¢ / 100.0¢	$17.2 (56.5%)	$30.5 · 1	$47.7 · 4	$0	Apr 9, 2026 12:34 AM
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? WonYesPolitics	51.5¢ / 100.0¢	$16.3 (78.9%)	$20.6 · 6	$36.9 · 4	$0	Jun 10, 2026 3:14 PM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? WonYesFinance	48.2¢ / 100.0¢	$7.11 (74.5%)	$9.45 · 3	$6.85 · 2	$0	Apr 28, 2026 12:34 PM
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	2.5¢ / 0.0¢	$6.75 (135.0%)	$5 · 1	$11.8 · 4	$0	Jul 12, 2026 3:01 AM
Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12? WonYesPolitics	1.9¢ / 100.0¢	$6.66 (2546.8%)	$0.26 · 3	$6.92 · 3	$0	Apr 14, 2026 7:08 PM
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	15.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.2 (41.3%)	$15 · 1	$21.2 · 2	$0	Jul 20, 2026 1:15 AM
ECB rate hike in 2026? WonYesEconomics	72.3¢ / 100.0¢	$4.9 (12.9%)	$38.1 · 5	$43 · 6	$0	Jun 11, 2026 2:31 PM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? WonYesFinance	68.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.8 (47.1%)	$10.2 · 2	$0	$0	Apr 13, 2026 8:04 AM
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in March? WonYesEconomics	0.5¢ / 0.0¢	$4.45 (92.6%)	$4.73 · 9	$9.25 · 16	$0	Apr 11, 2026 10:02 AM
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? WonYesPolitics	79.5¢ / 100.0¢	$3.96 (16.6%)	$23.8 · 5	$17.8 · 2	$0	Mar 31, 2026 9:17 AM
Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31? WonYesPolitics	62.1¢ / 100.0¢	$3.89 (60.9%)	$6.38 · 4	$0	$0	Mar 31, 2026 1:59 PM
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	6.5¢ / 0.0¢	$3.05 (23.5%)	$13 · 3	$16.1 · 4	$0	Jul 12, 2026 2:01 AM
Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.45% (HIGH) in April? WonYesPolitics	14.7¢ / 0.0¢	$2.67 (46.5%)	$5.75 · 3	$8.42 · 2	$0	Apr 30, 2026 10:15 PM
Will EUR/USD hit 1.14 (Low) in 2026? WonYesFinance	57.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.31 (40.5%)	$5.7 · 1	$3.78 · 1	$0	Jun 23, 2026 2:19 PM
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? WonYesFinance	90.8¢ / 100.0¢	$1.41 (6.2%)	$22.7 · 2	$4.1 · 1	$0	Apr 3, 2026 1:17 PM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April? WonYesFinance	70.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.23 (35.7%)	$3.41 · 1	$0.98 · 1	$0	Apr 23, 2026 3:49 AM
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? WonYesFinance	84.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.9 (2.1%)	$42.4 · 3	$23.3 · 3	$0	Apr 3, 2026 1:17 PM
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics	38.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.7 (18.4%)	$3.8 · 1	$4.5 · 1	$0	May 9, 2026 1:05 AM
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027? WonNoFinance	10.7¢ / 0.0¢	$0.61 (13.7%)	$4.48 · 3	$5.09 · 3	$0	May 15, 2026 10:46 PM
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–3.00 in March? WonYesEconomics	2.1¢ / 0.0¢	$0.33 (31.4%)	$1.05 · 1	$1.38 · 3	$0	Apr 10, 2026 3:15 PM
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April? WonNoFinance	96.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.32 (3.3%)	$9.67 · 1	$0	$0	May 1, 2026 5:35 AM
Will 50-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12? WonYesPolitics	13.1¢ / 0.0¢	$0.24 (18.3%)	$1.31 · 1	$1.55 · 1	$0	Apr 15, 2026 8:40 AM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? WonYesFinance	50.6¢ / 100.0¢	$0.23 (1.9%)	$12.1 · 2	$12.7 · 2	$0	Apr 30, 2026 6:22 AM
Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.25% (LOW) in April? WonNoPolitics	97.1¢ / 100.0¢	$0.14 (3.0%)	$4.85 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 30, 2026 10:16 PM

					Merge
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? YesPolitics 50.00 shares	4.7¢ / 0.2¢	-$2.25 (-95.7%)	$2.35 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 9:33 PM
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? YesEconomics 5.00 shares	49.4¢ / 45.7¢	$17.1 (39.5%)	$42.9 · 9	$58.2 · 5	$0	Jul 28, 2026 6:16 PM
Will EUR/USD hit 1.12 (Low) in 2026? YesFinance 7.44 shares	50.0¢ / 74.0¢	$1.79 (48.0%)	$3.72 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 19, 2026 6:10 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.40% (HIGH) in April? WonYesPolitics	16.9¢ / 100.0¢	$152 (426.7%)	$35.3 · 9	$7.56 · 4	$0	Apr 30, 2026 10:16 PM
US forces enter Iran by April 30? WonYesPolitics	61.0¢ / 100.0¢	$17.2 (56.5%)	$30.5 · 1	$47.7 · 4	$0	Apr 9, 2026 12:34 AM
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? WonYesPolitics	51.5¢ / 100.0¢	$16.3 (78.9%)	$20.6 · 6	$36.9 · 4	$0	Jun 10, 2026 3:14 PM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? WonYesFinance	48.2¢ / 100.0¢	$7.11 (74.5%)	$9.45 · 3	$6.85 · 2	$0	Apr 28, 2026 12:34 PM
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	2.5¢ / 0.0¢	$6.75 (135.0%)	$5 · 1	$11.8 · 4	$0	Jul 12, 2026 3:01 AM
Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12? WonYesPolitics	1.9¢ / 100.0¢	$6.66 (2546.8%)	$0.26 · 3	$6.92 · 3	$0	Apr 14, 2026 7:08 PM
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	15.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.2 (41.3%)	$15 · 1	$21.2 · 2	$0	Jul 20, 2026 1:15 AM
ECB rate hike in 2026? WonYesEconomics	72.3¢ / 100.0¢	$4.9 (12.9%)	$38.1 · 5	$43 · 6	$0	Jun 11, 2026 2:31 PM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? WonYesFinance	68.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.8 (47.1%)	$10.2 · 2	$0	$0	Apr 13, 2026 8:04 AM
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in March? WonYesEconomics	0.5¢ / 0.0¢	$4.45 (92.6%)	$4.73 · 9	$9.25 · 16	$0	Apr 11, 2026 10:02 AM
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? WonYesPolitics	79.5¢ / 100.0¢	$3.96 (16.6%)	$23.8 · 5	$17.8 · 2	$0	Mar 31, 2026 9:17 AM
Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31? WonYesPolitics	62.1¢ / 100.0¢	$3.89 (60.9%)	$6.38 · 4	$0	$0	Mar 31, 2026 1:59 PM
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	6.5¢ / 0.0¢	$3.05 (23.5%)	$13 · 3	$16.1 · 4	$0	Jul 12, 2026 2:01 AM
Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.45% (HIGH) in April? WonYesPolitics	14.7¢ / 0.0¢	$2.67 (46.5%)	$5.75 · 3	$8.42 · 2	$0	Apr 30, 2026 10:15 PM
Will EUR/USD hit 1.14 (Low) in 2026? WonYesFinance	57.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.31 (40.5%)	$5.7 · 1	$3.78 · 1	$0	Jun 23, 2026 2:19 PM
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? WonYesFinance	90.8¢ / 100.0¢	$1.41 (6.2%)	$22.7 · 2	$4.1 · 1	$0	Apr 3, 2026 1:17 PM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April? WonYesFinance	70.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.23 (35.7%)	$3.41 · 1	$0.98 · 1	$0	Apr 23, 2026 3:49 AM
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? WonYesFinance	84.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.9 (2.1%)	$42.4 · 3	$23.3 · 3	$0	Apr 3, 2026 1:17 PM
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics	38.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.7 (18.4%)	$3.8 · 1	$4.5 · 1	$0	May 9, 2026 1:05 AM
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027? WonNoFinance	10.7¢ / 0.0¢	$0.61 (13.7%)	$4.48 · 3	$5.09 · 3	$0	May 15, 2026 10:46 PM
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–3.00 in March? WonYesEconomics	2.1¢ / 0.0¢	$0.33 (31.4%)	$1.05 · 1	$1.38 · 3	$0	Apr 10, 2026 3:15 PM
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April? WonNoFinance	96.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.32 (3.3%)	$9.67 · 1	$0	$0	May 1, 2026 5:35 AM
Will 50-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12? WonYesPolitics	13.1¢ / 0.0¢	$0.24 (18.3%)	$1.31 · 1	$1.55 · 1	$0	Apr 15, 2026 8:40 AM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? WonYesFinance	50.6¢ / 100.0¢	$0.23 (1.9%)	$12.1 · 2	$12.7 · 2	$0	Apr 30, 2026 6:22 AM
Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.25% (LOW) in April? WonNoPolitics	97.1¢ / 100.0¢	$0.14 (3.0%)	$4.85 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 30, 2026 10:16 PM

keenalligator Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1-$4.62

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

-$4.62

Open-$22.6

High-$19.8

Low-$28.8

Close-$27.2

Open positions8

USD balance$0

2$8.77

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$8.77

Open-$27.2

High-$14.9

Low-$27.4

Close-$18.4

Open positions8

USD balance$0

3-$1.78

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.78

Open-$18.4

High-$12.4

Low-$23.1

Close-$20.2

Open positions7

USD balance$0

4-$1.29

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.29

Open-$20.2

High-$15.2

Low-$23.9

Close-$21.5

Open positions7

USD balance$0

5$6.09

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$6.09

Open-$21.5

High-$14.8

Low-$23.8

Close-$15.4

Open positions6

USD balance$110

6-$5.87

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$5.87

Open-$15.4

High-$9.56

Low-$28.6

Close-$21.3

Open positions6

USD balance$110

7-$1.64

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.64

Open-$21.3

High-$17.5

Low-$26.5

Close-$22.9

Open positions5

USD balance$116

8-$1.77

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.77

Open-$22.9

High-$22.4

Low-$26

Close-$24.7

Open positions5

USD balance$116

9-$0.87

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.87

Open-$24.7

High-$19.9

Low-$26.3

Close-$25.6

Open positions5

USD balance$116

10$3.76

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.76

Open-$25.6

High-$20.3

Low-$27.2

Close-$21.8

Open positions5

USD balance$116

11-$10.1

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$10.1

Open-$21.8

High-$17.1

Low-$31.9

Close-$31.9

Open positions4

USD balance$116

12$1.07

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.07

Open-$31.9

High-$28.3

Low-$34

Close-$30.8

Open positions4

USD balance$116

13$2.24

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.24

Open-$30.8

High-$28.6

Low-$31.8

Close-$28.6

Open positions4

USD balance$135

14-$0.44

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.44

Open-$28.6

High-$28.6

Low-$30.3

Close-$29

Open positions3

USD balance$138

15$12

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$12

Open-$29

High-$17

Low-$36.1

Close-$17

Open positions2

USD balance$173

17-$0.05

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.05

Open-$17

High-$17

Low-$17.1

Close-$17.1

Open positions2

USD balance$173

18-$0.35

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.35

Open-$17.1

High-$16.5

Low-$17.7

Close-$17.4

Open positions4

USD balance$168

19$1.38

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.38

Open-$17.4

High-$15.9

Low-$18.1

Close-$16.1

Open positions4

USD balance$168

20-$1.66

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.66

Open-$16.1

High-$16.1

Low-$18.4

Close-$17.7

Open positions4

USD balance$168

21-$1.43

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.43

Open-$17.7

High-$17.7

Low-$19.5

Close-$19.2

Open positions4

USD balance$0

22-$0.09

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.09

Open-$19.2

High-$18.7

Low-$19.4

Close-$19.2

Open positions4

USD balance$0

23$0.7

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.7

Open-$19.2

High-$18.2

Low-$19.8

Close-$18.5

Open positions4

USD balance$0

24-$0.66

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.66

Open-$18.5

High-$18.2

Low-$19.3

Close-$19.2

Open positions4

USD balance$0

25-$0.12

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.12

Open-$19.2

High-$19

Low-$20

Close-$19.3

Open positions3

USD balance$0

26-$0.3

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.3

Open-$19.3

High-$19.3

Low-$19.8

Close-$19.6

Open positions3

USD balance$0

27-$0.51

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.51

Open-$19.6

High-$19.6

Low-$20.2

Close-$20.1

Open positions3

USD balance$0

28$0.39

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.39

Open-$20.1

High-$19.7

Low-$20.3

Close-$19.7

Open positions3

USD balance$0

29-$0.2

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.2

Open-$19.7

High-$19.7

Low-$19.9

Close-$19.9

Open positions3

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $07D -$1.430D $7.28

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

48.5%

Profit Factor

1.45x

Avg Win

$7.96

Avg Loss

-$5.18

Total Wins

$255

Total Losses

-$176

Avg. Hold Time

23d 6h 38m 17s

Best Win

$152

Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.40% (HIGH) in April?

Worst Loss

-$35.2

Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?

Period

Best Period

$192, Apr 23 – Apr 29

Worst Period

-$86.8, Jun 9 – Jun 15

Longest Streak

3d W / 8d L

Current Streak

1d L

Max Drawdown

-$239 (-115.4%)

Current DD

-$227 (-109.6%)

Max Runup

$301 (320.4%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

$0.02(10)

keenalligator

Analytics

Analytics

keenalligator

keenalligator

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

keenalligator

Trader DNA

Trader DNA