papzini Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesPolitics 103.34 shares	50.0¢ / 19.4¢	-$31.6 (-19.4%)	$163	$0	$112	Jul 30, 2026 3:33 PM
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? NoPolitics 103.34 shares	50.0¢ / 80.0¢	$31 (19.0%)	$163	$0	$112	Jul 30, 2026 11:35 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	1.4¢ / 0.0¢	$53.9 (11.0%)	$476 · 1	$543 · 1	$0	Jul 11, 2026 12:15 AM
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	5.6¢ / 0.0¢	$43.9 (9.8%)	$434 · 1	$490 · 1	$0	Jul 7, 2026 12:14 AM
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025… WonNoMentions	94.0¢ / 100.0¢	$25.5 (2.1%)	$1.2K · 1	$1.22K · 1	$0	Dec 29, 2025 10:51 AM
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? WonNoCrypto	88.0¢ / 100.0¢	$12 (11.4%)	$106 · 3	$118 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:09 AM
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $103000 on May 9? WonNoCrypto	67.7¢ / 100.0¢	$3.6 (47.8%)	$7.52 · 2	$0	$0	May 11, 2025 1:46 PM
Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League? WonYesSports	0.5¢ / 0.0¢	$3.03 (18.9%)	$16 · 1	$19 · 7	$0	Feb 19, 2025 11:51 PM
Bitcoin above $99,000 on February 28? WonNoCrypto	67.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.97 (1.5%)	$199 · 1	$202 · 1	$0	Feb 28, 2025 7:18 PM
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League? WonNoSports	97.9¢ / 100.0¢	$1.91 (1.6%)	$116 · 2	$118 · 1	$0	Apr 25, 2026 11:23 PM
Jumper airdrop in Q3 2025? WonNoCrypto	99.5¢ / 100.0¢	$0.49 (0.5%)	$105 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 7, 2025 6:29 PM
Ethereum all time high by June 30? WonNoCrypto	98.3¢ / 100.0¢	$0.35 (1.8%)	$20.1 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 1, 2025 11:29 AM
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31? WonYesTech	74.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.35 (35.1%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 2, 2025 10:41 AM
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in May? WonNoCrypto	99.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.21 (0.2%)	$105 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 2, 2025 10:41 AM
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? WonNoSports	99.2¢ / 100.0¢	$0.21 (0.2%)	$107 · 2	$107 · 2	$0	Apr 24, 2026 1:49 AM
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 4–11? WonNoMentions	99.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.2 (0.2%)	$101 · 1	$0	$0	Aug 10, 2025 8:45 PM
Bitcoin above $97,000 on May 9? WonYesCrypto	88.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.14 (13.6%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	May 11, 2025 1:46 PM
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 2–9? WonNoMentions	89.1¢ / 100.0¢	$0.12 (12.2%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	May 11, 2025 1:46 PM
Will the next Pope be Black? WonNoCulture	93.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.08 (7.5%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	May 11, 2025 1:46 PM
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025? WonNoCrypto	99.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.07 (0.3%)	$23 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 1, 2025 4:28 PM
Will Henry Cucalón win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? WonNoPolitics	99.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.05 (0.2%)	$26.6 · 1	$0	$0	May 8, 2025 1:33 PM
Ethereum above $1,800 on May 9? WonYesCrypto	98.4¢ / 100.0¢	$0.02 (1.6%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	May 11, 2025 1:46 PM
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 2–9? WonNoMentions	99.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.01 (1.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	May 11, 2025 1:46 PM
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1600 and $1700 on May 9? WonNoCrypto	99.2¢ / 100.0¢	$0.01 (0.8%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	May 11, 2025 1:46 PM
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1500 on May 9? WonNoCrypto	99.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0 (0.3%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	May 11, 2025 1:46 PM
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1500 and $1600 on May 9? WonNoCrypto	99.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0 (0.3%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	May 11, 2025 1:46 PM
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 2–9? WonNoMentions	99.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0 (0.2%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	May 11, 2025 1:46 PM

					Merge
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesPolitics 103.34 shares	50.0¢ / 19.4¢	-$31.6 (-19.4%)	$163	$0	$112	Jul 30, 2026 3:33 PM
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? NoPolitics 103.34 shares	50.0¢ / 80.0¢	$31 (19.0%)	$163	$0	$112	Jul 30, 2026 11:35 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	1.4¢ / 0.0¢	$53.9 (11.0%)	$476 · 1	$543 · 1	$0	Jul 11, 2026 12:15 AM
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonYesSports	5.6¢ / 0.0¢	$43.9 (9.8%)	$434 · 1	$490 · 1	$0	Jul 7, 2026 12:14 AM
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025… WonNoMentions	94.0¢ / 100.0¢	$25.5 (2.1%)	$1.2K · 1	$1.22K · 1	$0	Dec 29, 2025 10:51 AM
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? WonNoCrypto	88.0¢ / 100.0¢	$12 (11.4%)	$106 · 3	$118 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:09 AM
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $103000 on May 9? WonNoCrypto	67.7¢ / 100.0¢	$3.6 (47.8%)	$7.52 · 2	$0	$0	May 11, 2025 1:46 PM
Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League? WonYesSports	0.5¢ / 0.0¢	$3.03 (18.9%)	$16 · 1	$19 · 7	$0	Feb 19, 2025 11:51 PM
Bitcoin above $99,000 on February 28? WonNoCrypto	67.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.97 (1.5%)	$199 · 1	$202 · 1	$0	Feb 28, 2025 7:18 PM
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League? WonNoSports	97.9¢ / 100.0¢	$1.91 (1.6%)	$116 · 2	$118 · 1	$0	Apr 25, 2026 11:23 PM
Jumper airdrop in Q3 2025? WonNoCrypto	99.5¢ / 100.0¢	$0.49 (0.5%)	$105 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 7, 2025 6:29 PM
Ethereum all time high by June 30? WonNoCrypto	98.3¢ / 100.0¢	$0.35 (1.8%)	$20.1 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 1, 2025 11:29 AM
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31? WonYesTech	74.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.35 (35.1%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 2, 2025 10:41 AM
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in May? WonNoCrypto	99.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.21 (0.2%)	$105 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 2, 2025 10:41 AM
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? WonNoSports	99.2¢ / 100.0¢	$0.21 (0.2%)	$107 · 2	$107 · 2	$0	Apr 24, 2026 1:49 AM
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 4–11? WonNoMentions	99.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.2 (0.2%)	$101 · 1	$0	$0	Aug 10, 2025 8:45 PM
Bitcoin above $97,000 on May 9? WonYesCrypto	88.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.14 (13.6%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	May 11, 2025 1:46 PM
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 2–9? WonNoMentions	89.1¢ / 100.0¢	$0.12 (12.2%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	May 11, 2025 1:46 PM
Will the next Pope be Black? WonNoCulture	93.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.08 (7.5%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	May 11, 2025 1:46 PM
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025? WonNoCrypto	99.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.07 (0.3%)	$23 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 1, 2025 4:28 PM
Will Henry Cucalón win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? WonNoPolitics	99.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.05 (0.2%)	$26.6 · 1	$0	$0	May 8, 2025 1:33 PM
Ethereum above $1,800 on May 9? WonYesCrypto	98.4¢ / 100.0¢	$0.02 (1.6%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	May 11, 2025 1:46 PM
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 2–9? WonNoMentions	99.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.01 (1.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	May 11, 2025 1:46 PM
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1600 and $1700 on May 9? WonNoCrypto	99.2¢ / 100.0¢	$0.01 (0.8%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	May 11, 2025 1:46 PM
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1500 on May 9? WonNoCrypto	99.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0 (0.3%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	May 11, 2025 1:46 PM
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1500 and $1600 on May 9? WonNoCrypto	99.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0 (0.3%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	May 11, 2025 1:46 PM
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 2–9? WonNoMentions	99.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0 (0.2%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	May 11, 2025 1:46 PM

papzini Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$64

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$64

Open$31.3

High$95.3

Low-$0.97

Close$95.3

Open positions1

USD balance$3.34

2$13.5

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$13.5

Open$95.3

High$129

Low$47.2

Close$109

Open positions2

USD balance$423

3$0.79

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.79

Open$109

High$110

Low$109

Close$110

Open positions2

USD balance$423

4$0.79

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.79

Open$110

High$110

Low$109

Close$110

Open positions2

USD balance$423

5-$2.09

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.09

Open$110

High$110

Low$102

Close$108

Open positions2

USD balance$0

6-$0.04

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.04

Open$108

High$109

Low$107

Close$108

Open positions2

USD balance$0

7-$9.8

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$9.8

Open$108

High$109

Low$97.4

Close$98.4

Open positions2

USD balance$0.01

8$0.08

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.08

Open$98.4

High$99.3

Low$94.4

Close$98.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0.01

9-$0.01

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.01

Open$98.5

High$99.2

Low$97.1

Close$98.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0.01

10$0.64

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.64

Open$98.5

High$99.4

Low$97.4

Close$99.1

Open positions2

USD balance$0.01

11-$0.63

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.63

Open$99.1

High$99.2

Low$97.7

Close$98.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0

12-$0.02

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.02

Open$98.5

High$99.3

Low$97.6

Close$98.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0

13-$0.69

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.69

Open$98.5

High$99.2

Low$97.2

Close$97.8

Open positions2

USD balance$0

14$1.35

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.35

Open$97.8

High$99.2

Low$97.4

Close$99.1

Open positions2

USD balance$0

15-$1.07

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.07

Open$99.1

High$99.3

Low$97.5

Close$98

Open positions2

USD balance$0

16$1.18

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.18

Open$98

High$99.2

Low$97.7

Close$99.2

Open positions2

USD balance$0

17-$0.77

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.77

Open$99.2

High$99.2

Low$96.9

Close$98.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0

18-$0

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open$98.5

High$99.2

Low$97.7

Close$98.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0

19$0.77

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.77

Open$98.5

High$99.2

Low$97.6

Close$99.2

Open positions2

USD balance$0

20-$0.87

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.87

Open$99.2

High$99.2

Low$97.6

Close$98.4

Open positions2

USD balance$0

21-$0.1

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.1

Open$98.4

High$99.2

Low$97.5

Close$98.3

Open positions2

USD balance$0

22$0.2

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.2

Open$98.3

High$99.2

Low$97.7

Close$98.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0

23$0.01

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.01

Open$98.5

High$99.2

Low$96.9

Close$98.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0

24-$0

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open$98.5

High$99.2

Low$98.3

Close$98.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0

25$0

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

Open$98.5

High$99.2

Low$98.5

Close$98.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0

26$0

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

Open$98.5

High$99.2

Low$97.7

Close$98.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0

27$0.76

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.76

Open$98.5

High$99.2

Low$96.7

Close$99.2

Open positions2

USD balance$0

28-$1.5

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.5

Open$99.2

High$99.2

Low$96.7

Close$97.7

Open positions2

USD balance$0

29$0.75

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.75

Open$97.7

High$99.2

Low$97.5

Close$98.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0

30$0

Jul 30, 2026

Daily PnL

Open$98.5

High$99.2

Low$97.6

Close$98.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D -$07D $0.8730D $3.2

Markets

117

Won

Lost

Win Rate

25.5%

Profit Factor

3.06x

Avg Win

$5.33

Avg Loss

-$0.59

Total Wins

$149

Total Losses

-$48.7

Avg. Hold Time

52d 7h 34m 52s

Best Win

$53.9

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Worst Loss

-$17.2

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Period

Best Period

$79.1, Jun 14 – Jul 4

Worst Period

-$13.2, Oct 21 – Oct 27

Longest Streak

9d W / 7d L

Current Streak

2d W

Max Drawdown

-$15.3 (-292.1%)

Current DD

-$11.9 (-10.8%)

Max Runup

$131 (637.7%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

$1.09(113)

papzini

Analytics

papzini

Analytics

papzini

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

papzini

Trader DNA

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Trader DNA