
Volume
$2M
Txns
19,489
Traders
2,685
Fees
$0
Ends
May 31, 2025
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Ordon | Yes / 99.8¢ | +10.53 | $10.5 | |
| 1y | deig0 | Yes / 99.8¢ | -10.53 | $10.5 | |
| 1y | baaaaaahhhhhfarmmmm | Yes / 99.9¢ | -57.35 | $57.3 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | -57.35 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | baaaaaahhhhhfarmmmm | Yes / 99.8¢ | +57.35 | $57.2 | |
| 1y | 0x1A36EFD1b02aB468458f87E3d5598B97738aCc01-1747585399884 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -578.60 | $578 | |
| 1y | Ordon | Yes / 99.9¢ | +486.13 | $486 | |
| 1y | Ordon | Yes / 99.8¢ | +35.12 | $35 | |
| 1y | Ordon | Yes / 99.9¢ | +120.07 | $120 | |
| 1y | constflow | Yes / 99.9¢ | -120.07 | $120 | |
| 1y | Ordon | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1y | predictordeniz | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | MoneyBig | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2.20 | $2.2 | |
| 1y | Ordon | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2.20 | $2.2 | |
| 1y | Ordon | Yes / 99.9¢ | +6.69 | $6.68 | |
| 1y | RuanVargas | Yes / 99.9¢ | -6.69 | $6.68 | |
| 1y | IBT | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2,542.17 | $2.54K | |
| 1y | Ordon | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,542.17 | $2.54K | |
| 1y | Ordon | Yes / 99.9¢ | +500.00 | $500 | |
| 1y | Babar1952 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -500.00 | $500 | |
| 1y | Ordon | Yes / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | biscuitboost | Yes / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | Ordon | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | mra | Yes / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | Cw9 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -25.31 | $25.3 |
1–25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 74%$0volume
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 73%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
Yes 93%$0volume
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
No 96%$0volume
Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?
Yes 53%$0volume