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Avg trade size
| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? YesPolitics 11,459.80 shares | 99.0¢ / 99.4¢ | $904 (8.0%) | $11.3K · 4 | $858 · 1 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 2:33 PM | |
![]() Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? YesPolitics 11,459.80 shares | 93.6¢ / 91.6¢ | -$230 (-2.1%) | $10.7K · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 2:32 PM | |
![]() Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? YesFinance 33,336.30 shares | 25.0¢ / 3.1¢ | -$7.29K (-87.6%) | $8.32K · 13 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 2:27 PM | |
![]() Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? YesFinance 6,250.80 shares | 19.2¢ / 0.6¢ | -$1.16K (-96.9%) | $1.2K · 33 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 2:13 PM | |
![]() Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? YesFinance 60,421.80 shares | 8.0¢ / 76.9¢ | $41.6K (862.3%) | $4.83K · 13 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 1:59 PM | |
![]() Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? YesPolitics 10,334.16 shares | 5.1¢ / 4.2¢ | -$94.4 (-17.9%) | $510 · 13 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 1:47 PM | |
![]() Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? NoPolitics 1,041.80 shares | 64.0¢ / 95.1¢ | $324 (48.6%) | $667 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 1:24 PM | |
![]() Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? YesFinance 46,876.88 shares | 13.0¢ / 15.0¢ | $916 (15.0%) | $6.12K · 13 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 1:20 PM | |
![]() Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? YesPolitics 2,127.88 shares | 12.7¢ / 7.5¢ | -$108 (-40.2%) | $268 · 51 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 12:58 PM | |
![]() Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? NoPolitics 1,041.80 shares | 19.0¢ / 92.7¢ | $768 (387.8%) | $198 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 11:59 AM | |
![]() Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? NoPolitics 1,041.80 shares | 7.3¢ / 75.5¢ | $711 (937.8%) | $75.8 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 9:23 AM | |
![]() Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? YesFinance 19,792.03 shares | 27.2¢ / 1.9¢ | -$5.01K (-93.0%) | $5.38K · 26 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 4:59 AM | |
![]() Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? YesPolitics 4,200.00 shares | 1.9¢ / 14.4¢ | $523 (639.9%) | $81.4 · 44 | $0 | $0 | Jun 12, 2026 11:36 PM | |
![]() Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? YesPolitics 1,041.80 shares | 31.2¢ / 2.9¢ | -$295 (-90.8%) | $325 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 12, 2026 10:54 PM | |
![]() Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? YesPolitics 5,393.99 shares | 1.9¢ / 4.1¢ | $116 (110.3%) | $103 · 55 | $0 | $0 | Jun 12, 2026 6:16 PM | |
![]() Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? YesPolitics 4,167.00 shares | 9.2¢ / 30.9¢ | $902 (234.2%) | $385 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 12, 2026 5:51 PM | |
![]() Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? YesPolitics 300.00 shares | 1.9¢ / 32.0¢ | $90.2 (1555.4%) | $5.65 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jun 12, 2026 5:51 PM | |
![]() Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? YesPolitics 2,083.50 shares | 21.9¢ / 2.6¢ | -$403 (-88.1%) | $457 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jun 12, 2026 5:51 PM | |
![]() Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? NoPolitics 1,041.80 shares | 35.0¢ / 94.4¢ | $619 (169.9%) | $365 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 12, 2026 5:24 PM | |
![]() Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? NoPoliticsRedeemable 0.07 shares | 98.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $362 (1.0%) | $35.8K · 36 | $36.1K · 35 | $0 | Oct 29, 2025 9:16 PM |
1–20
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18.8¢ / 0.0¢ | $22.7K (27.6%) | $82.3K · 517 | $105K · 448 | $0 | May 8, 2025 9:40 PM | ||
30.7¢ / 0.0¢ | $20.3K (36.6%) | $55.5K · 241 | $75.9K · 238 | $0 | Dec 10, 2025 10:19 PM | ||
14.1¢ / 0.0¢ | $11.7K (20.0%) | $58.7K · 406 | $70.4K · 415 | $0 | Jul 30, 2025 9:08 PM | ||
92.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $7.54K (8.6%) | $87.3K · 34 | $0 | $0 | Sep 17, 2025 10:30 PM | ||
62.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $6.63K (89.1%) | $7.44K · 15 | $1.57K · 3 | $0 | Apr 7, 2026 10:33 AM | ||
61.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $6.08K (16.4%) | $37.1K · 67 | $34.8K · 45 | $0 | Jan 29, 2026 3:39 PM | ||
57.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.92K (5.5%) | $71.6K · 269 | $75.5K · 264 | $0 | Sep 17, 2025 9:09 PM | ||
10.1¢ / 0.0¢ | $3.8K (27.5%) | $13.8K · 65 | $17.6K · 64 | $0 | Mar 18, 2026 9:18 PM | ||
![]() Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024? WonYesEconomics | 70.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.9K (38.4%) | $4.95K · 16 | $6.85K · 2 | $0 | Dec 18, 2024 10:30 PM | |
![]() No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? WonYesPolitics | 84.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.36K (11.1%) | $12.3K · 14 | $8.46K · 9 | $0 | Aug 1, 2025 4:00 PM | |
82.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $837 (2.0%) | $42.1K · 54 | $8.6K · 26 | $0 | Oct 29, 2025 10:58 PM | ||
92.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $616 (4.7%) | $13.1K · 12 | $13.7K · 19 | $0 | Jan 29, 2025 11:03 PM | ||
2.7¢ / 0.0¢ | $598 (30.6%) | $1.95K · 76 | $2.55K · 44 | $0 | May 8, 2025 9:40 PM | ||
![]() Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? WonYesEconomics | 32.5¢ / 0.0¢ | $558 (3.6%) | $15.4K · 61 | $15.9K · 56 | $0 | Dec 10, 2025 10:20 PM | |
76.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $504 (30.0%) | $1.68K · 5 | $2.18K · 1 | $0 | Dec 18, 2024 10:30 PM | ||
70.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $458 (15.7%) | $2.92K · 4 | $3.37K · 4 | $0 | Mar 20, 2025 1:26 PM | ||
0.8¢ / 0.0¢ | $420 (86.6%) | $484 · 32 | $904 · 32 | $0 | Apr 7, 2026 10:51 AM | ||
![]() Fed rate cut in 2025? WonNoPolitics | 13.3¢ / 0.0¢ | $413 (85.3%) | $485 · 17 | $898 · 34 | $0 | Sep 17, 2025 8:22 PM | |
11.0¢ / 0.9¢ | $310 (17.0%) | $1.83K · 6 | $2.14K · 11 | $0 | Apr 13, 2026 3:22 PM | ||
4.9¢ / 0.0¢ | $229 (2.6%) | $8.94K · 186 | $9.17K · 174 | $0 | Sep 17, 2025 9:28 PM | ||
20.6¢ / 0.0¢ | $174 (0.4%) | $41.1K · 312 | $41.3K · 305 | $0 | Jun 18, 2025 9:20 PM | ||
![]() Fed emergency rate cut in 2025? WonYesEconomics | 20.7¢ / 0.5¢ | $162 (25.7%) | $631 · 3 | $793 · 1 | $0 | Dec 15, 2025 2:12 PM | |
0.5¢ / 0.2¢ | $129 (23.1%) | $533 · 49 | $688 · 152 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 2:30 PM | ||
1.5¢ / 0.3¢ | $43.9 (6.4%) | $657 · 34 | $733 · 31 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 2:26 PM | ||
![]() Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting? WonYesEconomics | 85.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $42.8 (7.6%) | $560 · 15 | $603 · 12 | $0 | Jun 5, 2025 3:26 PM |
1–25
PnL Calendar
Jun 1, 2026
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Jun 2, 2026
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Jun 3, 2026
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Jun 4, 2026
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Jun 5, 2026
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Jun 6, 2026
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Jun 7, 2026
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Jun 8, 2026
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Jun 9, 2026
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Jun 10, 2026
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Jun 11, 2026
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Jun 12, 2026
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Jun 13, 2026
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
81
Won
25
Lost
26
Win Rate
49.0%
Profit Factor
1.85x
Avg Win
$3.71K
Avg Loss
-$1.92K
Total Wins
$92.6K
Total Losses
-$50K
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield