
Volume
$2M
Txns
9,953
Traders
1,885
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between March 4 and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 99%$6.11Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$10.1Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$17.1Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 91%$17.3Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 73%$3.58Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 99%$5.64Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8mo | ULYSSES18 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,684.89 | $1.68K | |
| 8mo | PrivoNoct | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,684.89 | $1.68K | |
| 8mo | Dreamer1973 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -134.29 | $134 | |
| 8mo | ULYSSES18 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +134.29 | $134 | |
| 8mo | laicailaicai666 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 8mo | ULYSSES18 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 8mo | ULYSSES18 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 8mo | notmereally | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 8mo | ULYSSES18 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.60 | $100 | |
| 8mo | 0x92cbFF454c6E33A2A1137CB12997DeA721849c92-1730871022598 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -100.60 | $100 | |
| 8mo | yoyobb2018 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +240.00 | $240 | |
| 8mo | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +240.00 | $0.24 | |
| 8mo | Evador | No / 0.2¢ | -219.98 | $0.44 | |
| 8mo | Evador | No / 0.3¢ | -18.11 | $0.05 | |
| 8mo | ACara | No / 0.3¢ | -27.17 | $0.08 | |
| 8mo | kroko | No / 0.3¢ | -1,666.66 | $5 | |
| 8mo | ACara | No / 0.3¢ | -572.83 | $1.72 | |
| 8mo | HolyMoses7 | Yes / 99.6¢ | +176.43 | $176 | |
| 8mo | O3O.legacy.0 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,000.00 | $4K | |
| 8mo | martinnn | No / 0.2¢ | +6,681.18 | $12 | |
| 8mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.9¢ | +40.00 | $40 | |
| 8mo | Brzk | Yes / 99.9¢ | -40.00 | $40 | |
| 8mo | kroko | No / 0.1¢ | +882.00 | $0.88 | |
| 8mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.9¢ | +882.00 | $881 | |
| 8mo | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 |
1–25