| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No 151.54 net shares | 57.5¢ / 65.6¢ | $6.45 (14.1%) | May 13, 2026 8:17 AM | |
 Zaporizhia No 5.07 net shares | 81.8¢ / 93.3¢ | $0.29 (14.0%) | May 12, 2026 1:27 PM | |
 May 31 No 40.31 net shares | 88.6¢ / 91.1¢ | $0.64 (2.8%) | May 11, 2026 2:49 AM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? No 32.04 net shares | 81.0¢ / 0.1¢ | -$13 (-99.9%) | May 8, 2026 7:13 PM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027? No 25.00 net shares | 40.4¢ / 0.0¢ | -$5.05 (-100.0%) | May 8, 2026 6:57 PM | |
 May 31 No 75.08 net shares | 57.6¢ / 62.0¢ | $1.46 (7.6%) | May 7, 2026 9:51 PM | |
 June 30 Yes 34.75 net shares | 57.8¢ / 33.0¢ | -$6.83 (-43.0%) | May 7, 2026 9:24 PM | |
May 15 No 13.41 net shares | 74.6¢ / 97.5¢ | $1.55 (30.8%) | May 5, 2026 7:49 PM | |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No 6.32 net shares | 94.9¢ / 95.0¢ | $0 (0.1%) | May 3, 2026 10:38 AM | |
December 31 No 35.12 net shares | 62.6¢ / 64.0¢ | $0.24 (2.2%) | May 3, 2026 10:38 AM | |
June 30 No 6.92 net shares | 86.7¢ / 85.0¢ | -$0.06 (-2.0%) | May 3, 2026 10:37 AM | |
 June 30 No 0.00 net shares | 53.0¢ / 69.0¢ | $0 (30.2%) | May 2, 2026 3:23 AM | |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April? Yes -5.74 net shares | 63.8¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0 (-100.0%) | May 1, 2026 5:05 AM | |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No 49.80 net shares | 80.3¢ / 91.0¢ | $3.07 (13.3%) | Apr 28, 2026 12:59 AM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes 0.04 net shares | 64.0¢ / 7.0¢ | -$0 (-89.1%) | Apr 27, 2026 9:19 AM | |
June 30 Yes 0.00 net shares | 51.0¢ / 31.0¢ | -$0 (-39.2%) | Apr 25, 2026 5:30 PM | |
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? No 10.34 net shares | 96.7¢ / 98.7¢ | $0.1 (2.1%) | Apr 23, 2026 2:46 PM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? No 12.20 net shares | 82.0¢ / 99.7¢ | $1.08 (21.6%) | Apr 23, 2026 12:12 PM | |
 April 22 Yes 0.04 net shares | 63.3¢ / 0.2¢ | -$0 (-99.7%) | Apr 22, 2026 1:43 PM | |
 April 21 No 0.00 net shares | 29.0¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (244.5%) | Apr 21, 2026 8:28 PM | |
 J.D. Vance Yes 42.78 net shares | 70.1¢ / 0.0¢ | -$15 (-100.0%) | Apr 19, 2026 1:48 PM | |
 June 30 No 0.12 net shares | 45.0¢ / 83.0¢ | $0 (84.4%) | Apr 18, 2026 3:18 PM | |
 April 30 Yes 2.86 net shares | 76.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0.01 (-100.0%) | Apr 17, 2026 9:10 PM | |
April 23 Yes 0.01 net shares | 90.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0 (-100.0%) | Apr 17, 2026 9:08 PM | |
April 30 No -1.77 net shares | 30.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (229.7%) | Apr 17, 2026 2:01 PM |
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