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| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? NoPolitics 4.65 shares | 43.6¢ / 63.5¢ | $0.57 (14.0%) | $4 · 2 | $1.67 · 1 | $0 | Jun 30, 2026 2:58 PM | |
![]() Israel closes its airspace by June 30? NoPolitics 1.69 shares | — / 99.7¢ | $4.01 (17080.8%) | $0 | $2.35 · 6 | $0 | Jun 30, 2026 2:51 PM | |
![]() Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? NoPolitics 2.30 shares | 87.9¢ / 98.8¢ | $0.25 (12.4%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 30, 2026 2:44 PM | |
![]() Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 11.77 shares | 85.8¢ / 82.0¢ | -$0.45 (-4.5%) | $10 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Jun 30, 2026 2:42 PM | |
![]() Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YesPolitics 9.99 shares | 22.5¢ / 0.5¢ | -$2.94 (-39.4%) | $7.34 · 4 | $4.47 · 6 | $0 | Jun 30, 2026 2:40 PM | |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? YesPolitics 10.53 shares | 19.2¢ / 0.1¢ | -$2.01 (-99.5%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 30, 2026 2:40 PM | |
![]() Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 25.13 shares | 80.4¢ / 77.0¢ | -$0.85 (-4.2%) | $20 · 10 | $0 | $0 | Jun 30, 2026 2:39 PM | |
![]() Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YesPolitics 44.95 shares | 11.8¢ / 0.2¢ | -$5 (-61.6%) | $8 · 4 | $3.02 · 2 | $0 | Jun 30, 2026 2:25 PM | |
![]() Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? YesPolitics 5.20 shares | 77.8¢ / 76.0¢ | -$0.09 (-2.3%) | $4 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jun 30, 2026 2:21 PM | |
![]() Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 11.84 shares | 94.5¢ / 91.0¢ | -$0.43 (-3.6%) | $12 · 6 | $0.93 · 21 | $0 | Jun 30, 2026 1:55 PM | |
Iran full airspace closure by July 15? NoPolitics 2.33 shares | 86.9¢ / 90.0¢ | $0.07 (3.6%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 30, 2026 1:05 PM | |
![]() Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? NoPolitics 28.80 shares | 79.9¢ / 99.9¢ | $5.77 (25.1%) | $23 · 7 | $0 | $0 | Jun 30, 2026 12:51 PM | |
![]() Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? YesPolitics 3.70 shares | 54.5¢ / 46.0¢ | -$0.32 (-15.7%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 30, 2026 12:03 PM | |
![]() Iran leadership change by June 30? NoPolitics 2.11 shares | 90.8¢ / 99.8¢ | $0.02 (0.4%) | $5 · 2 | $2.99 · 1 | $0 | Jun 30, 2026 12:01 PM | |
Iran full airspace closure by June 30? NoPolitics 2.13 shares | 94.9¢ / 99.3¢ | $0.09 (4.6%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 30, 2026 11:37 AM | |
![]() Iran leadership change by December 31? NoPolitics 25.60 shares | 64.2¢ / 83.0¢ | $8.19 (62.8%) | $13 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jun 30, 2026 11:18 AM | |
![]() Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? NoPolitics 79.58 shares | 57.6¢ / 72.0¢ | $16.2 (39.3%) | $41 · 9 | $0 | $0 | Jun 30, 2026 7:56 AM | |
![]() Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? NoPolitics 7.49 shares | 86.8¢ / 99.3¢ | $0.97 (13.8%) | $7 · 3 | $0.6 · 4 | $0 | Jun 30, 2026 4:05 AM | |
![]() Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026? NoPolitics 2.07 shares | 97.7¢ / 99.5¢ | $0.04 (1.9%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 30, 2026 12:38 AM | |
![]() Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 2.11 shares | 95.7¢ / 95.0¢ | -$0.02 (-0.8%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 30, 2026 12:32 AM | |
![]() Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? NoPolitics 3.19 shares | 94.9¢ / 99.9¢ | $0.16 (5.2%) | $3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 29, 2026 8:56 PM | |
![]() Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 2.53 shares | 82.3¢ / 92.4¢ | $0.29 (5.8%) | $5 · 1 | $3.03 · 2 | $0 | Jun 29, 2026 8:47 AM |
1–22
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics | — / 100.0¢ | $13.2 (39334.4%) | $0 | $3.37 · 7 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 4:12 PM | |
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 74.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $8.04 (385.7%) | $2 · 1 | $6.49 · 4 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 4:12 PM | |
![]() Iran closes its airspace by May 31? WonNoPolitics | 58.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $7.39 (30.3%) | $24 · 6 | $15.1 · 2 | $0 | Jun 7, 2026 9:40 PM | |
![]() Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? WonYesPolitics | 70.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $6.24 (41.6%) | $15 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Apr 25, 2026 4:03 AM | |
![]() Will Iran strike Cyprus by April 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 98.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.73 (16.4%) | $35 · 7 | $0 | $0 | May 4, 2026 10:15 AM | |
![]() Will Iran strike Ukraine by April 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics | — / 100.0¢ | $5.04 | $0 | $0 | $0 | May 4, 2026 10:15 AM | |
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 49.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.76 (13.0%) | $21 · 6 | $12.5 · 2 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 4:12 PM | |
![]() US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 63.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.34 (22.8%) | $10 · 5 | $12.6 · 2 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 12:32 AM | |
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13? WonNoPolitics | — / 100.0¢ | $2.25 | $0 | $0 | $0 | Jun 14, 2026 1:23 PM | |
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15? WonNoPolitics | 41.2¢ / 0.0¢ | $2.1 (101.7%) | $2 · 1 | $4.16 · 3 | $0 | Jun 17, 2026 10:12 PM | |
88.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.95 (10.3%) | $19 · 7 | $5.05 · 1 | $0 | Apr 22, 2026 12:47 PM | ||
43.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.92 (38.4%) | $5 · 1 | $4.95 · 5 | $0 | May 2, 2026 10:11 PM | ||
91.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.92 (5.9%) | $32.6 · 7 | $18.3 · 4 | $0 | Apr 18, 2026 7:22 AM | ||
![]() Israel closes its airspace by May 8? WonNoPolitics | 83.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.76 (17.4%) | $10 · 2 | $2.2 · 1 | $0 | May 12, 2026 10:51 AM | |
![]() Iran closes its airspace by May 15? WonNoPolitics | 75.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.63 (31.9%) | $5 · 1 | $6.74 · 1 | $0 | May 16, 2026 7:17 AM | |
![]() Iran leadership change by May 31? WonNoPolitics | 89.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.58 (3.9%) | $40 · 9 | $26.4 · 16 | $0 | Jun 7, 2026 9:40 PM | |
83.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.03 (20.4%) | $5 · 1 | $6.08 · 1 | $0 | May 19, 2026 9:47 PM | ||
94.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.73 (5.6%) | $13 · 5 | $0.26 · 1 | $0 | May 2, 2026 10:11 PM | ||
76.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.62 (2.1%) | $30 · 6 | $17.9 · 6 | $0 | Apr 20, 2026 9:14 AM | ||
31.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.61 (10.2%) | $6 · 2 | $6.6 · 2 | $0 | May 1, 2026 7:35 AM | ||
![]() Netanyahu out by end of 2026? WonYesPolitics | 52.2¢ / 47.0¢ | $0.6 (29.3%) | $2 · 1 | $2.65 · 3 | $0 | Jun 30, 2026 12:04 PM | |
![]() Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? WonYesPolitics | 96.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.57 (3.6%) | $16 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Apr 21, 2026 6:26 PM | |
![]() Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? WonYesPolitics | 90.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.52 (10.4%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Apr 25, 2026 4:03 AM | |
![]() Kash Patel out by June 30? WonNoPolitics | 54.6¢ / 98.2¢ | $0.5 (8.1%) | $6 · 2 | $6.68 · 1 | $0 | Jun 30, 2026 9:23 AM | |
![]() Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 91.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.49 (9.8%) | $5 · 1 | $5.48 · 1 | $0 | Apr 21, 2026 12:29 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
107
Won
53
Lost
18
Win Rate
74.6%
Profit Factor
1.47x
Avg Win
$0.88
Avg Loss
-$1.75
Total Wins
$46.5
Total Losses
-$31.6
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield