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| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? NoPolitics 92.59 shares | 54.0¢ / 44.0¢ | -$9.26 (-18.5%) | $50 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 4:26 AM | |
 US recession by end of 2026? YesEconomics 5.00 shares | 22.9¢ / 13.0¢ | -$0.49 (-43.1%) | $1.1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 9:53 PM |
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025? WonNoPolitics | 92.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $198 (8.6%) | $2.3K · 14 | $0 | $0 | Jan 3, 2026 6:00 PM | |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? WonYesPolitics | 79.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $135 (25.0%) | $540 · 3 | $675 · 1 | $0 | May 9, 2026 5:02 PM | |
94.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $115 (4.9%) | $2.34K · 18 | $184 · 1 | $0 | Apr 4, 2026 12:10 PM | ||
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 93.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $104 (6.6%) | $1.57K · 18 | $0 | $0 | Mar 1, 2026 3:50 PM | |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? WonNoPolitics | 81.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $70.3 (23.2%) | $303 · 15 | $0 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 10:55 AM | |
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 96.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $70.2 (3.7%) | $1.92K · 14 | $0 | $0 | Mar 2, 2026 4:07 PM | |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October? WonNoPolitics | 89.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $69.8 (11.9%) | $587 · 7 | $0 | $0 | Nov 1, 2025 7:37 AM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 93.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $66.4 (7.0%) | $950 · 9 | $1.02K · 5 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 7:49 AM | |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? WonYesPolitics | 89.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $65.3 (10.7%) | $611 · 1 | $677 · 1 | $0 | Apr 11, 2026 12:35 AM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 95.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $61.9 (4.2%) | $1.46K · 2 | $906 · 2 | $0 | Feb 1, 2026 6:43 PM | |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30? WonNoPolitics | 97.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $57.8 (2.9%) | $2.02K · 23 | $150 · 1 | $0 | Dec 1, 2025 2:54 PM | |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 94.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $54.8 (5.3%) | $1.04K · 9 | $1.09K · 5 | $0 | Mar 1, 2026 9:25 AM | |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? WonYesPolitics | 95.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $53.7 (5.0%) | $1.07K · 4 | $0 | $0 | Nov 5, 2025 5:48 AM | |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31? WonNoPolitics | 95.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $48.7 (4.5%) | $1.08K · 5 | $795 · 1 | $0 | Feb 1, 2026 6:43 PM | |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 88.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $42.6 (8.4%) | $510 · 8 | $181 · 4 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:36 AM | |
 More EU sanctions on Russia by August 31? WonNoPolitics | 91.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $40.5 (9.7%) | $418 · 8 | $0 | $0 | Sep 2, 2025 2:16 AM | |
 Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30? WonYesPolitics | 94.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $35.6 (5.6%) | $635 · 16 | $0 | $0 | Sep 5, 2025 10:39 PM | |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? WonNoPolitics | 91.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $35.6 (6.5%) | $549 · 2 | $585 · 2 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 7:19 AM | |
 Trump declassifies UFO files in first 100 days? WonNoPolitics | 88.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $34.8 (7.5%) | $465 · 18 | $75 · 1 | $0 | Apr 30, 2025 5:02 PM | |
94.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $34.4 (5.5%) | $626 · 6 | $660 · 3 | $0 | Mar 1, 2026 7:16 AM | ||
 Israel strike on Iran on June 18? WonYesPolitics | 96.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $33.2 (3.9%) | $849 · 14 | $0 | $0 | Jun 19, 2025 12:45 AM | |
88.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $32.6 (13.2%) | $247 · 4 | $0 | $0 | Jun 3, 2025 9:37 PM | ||
82.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $32.2 (12.6%) | $255 · 4 | $287 · 3 | $0 | Jun 2, 2026 6:23 PM | ||
 AOC pregnant in 2024? WonNoPolitics | 92.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $27.8 (8.0%) | $346 · 6 | $0 | $0 | Jan 1, 2025 11:14 AM | |
Israel strike on Iran on June 20? WonYesPolitics | 97.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $27.4 (2.4%) | $1.14K · 10 | $0 | $0 | Jun 20, 2025 3:55 PM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
437
Won
347
Lost
78
Win Rate
81.6%
Profit Factor
0.88x
Avg Win
$8.44
Avg Loss
-$42.8
Total Wins
$2.93K
Total Losses
-$3.34K
Avg. Hold Time
Worst Loss
-$2.77K
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield
