samrag Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

Explorer

Loading open positions...

Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026… NoPolitics 493.31 shares	96.6¢ / 97.7¢	$5.65 (1.2%)	$475 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 11:24 PM
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? NoTech 317.78 shares	96.2¢ / 96.4¢	$0.78 (0.3%)	$305 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 8:53 PM
Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October? NoCryptoRedeemable 0.10 shares	99.2¢ / 100.0¢	$9.79 (0.7%)	$1.39K · 1	$1.4K · 15	$0	Nov 1, 2025 6:16 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? WonYesPolitics	88.0¢ / 100.0¢	$143 (13.4%)	$1.07K · 1	$1.21K · 5	$0	Jan 28, 2026 10:53 PM
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? WonNoPolitics	89.0¢ / 100.0¢	$40 (11.2%)	$356 · 1	$396 · 1	$0	Dec 10, 2025 10:18 PM
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 3… WonYesFinance	96.4¢ / 100.0¢	$24.9 (3.5%)	$704 · 4	$729 · 3	$0	Apr 1, 2026 1:49 AM
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? WonNoCrypto	95.8¢ / 100.0¢	$23 (4.2%)	$549 · 1	$572 · 4	$0	Jan 1, 2026 7:19 AM
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	78.0¢ / 100.0¢	$14.6 (28.2%)	$51.6 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 2, 2026 8:09 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November? WonNoCrypto	97.4¢ / 100.0¢	$10.5 (2.0%)	$539 · 1	$549 · 1	$0	Dec 1, 2025 7:30 AM
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin… WonYesPolitics	95.9¢ / 100.0¢	$9.25 (3.1%)	$296 · 1	$306 · 1	$0	Jul 29, 2026 8:06 PM
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February? WonNoFinance	97.0¢ / 100.0¢	$8.07 (2.3%)	$356 · 1	$364 · 1	$0	Feb 28, 2026 9:11 AM
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? WonNoTech	96.1¢ / 100.0¢	$6.02 (4.1%)	$148 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 1, 2026 8:36 AM
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 3… WonYesFinance	95.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6 (4.2%)	$143 · 1	$149 · 1	$0	Apr 30, 2026 10:27 PM
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,400 by end of February? WonNoFinance	84.8¢ / 100.0¢	$5.56 (13.4%)	$41.4 · 1	$47 · 1	$0	Feb 28, 2026 9:12 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November? WonNoCrypto	98.9¢ / 100.0¢	$5 (1.0%)	$495 · 2	$500 · 1	$0	Dec 1, 2025 7:29 AM
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 mee… WonNoPolitics	99.2¢ / 100.0¢	$4.81 (0.5%)	$997 · 2	$1K · 2	$0	Mar 18, 2026 9:19 PM
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? WonNoTech	96.6¢ / 99.8¢	$4.79 (3.1%)	$157 · 2	$162 · 3	$0	Jul 29, 2026 11:14 PM
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June? WonNoFinance	98.8¢ / 100.0¢	$4.72 (1.1%)	$444 · 1	$449 · 1	$0	Jul 1, 2026 7:15 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? WonNoCrypto	98.9¢ / 100.0¢	$4 (1.0%)	$396 · 1	$400 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 7:19 AM
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti… WonNoPolitics	98.7¢ / 100.0¢	$3.78 (0.8%)	$449 · 1	$453 · 2	$0	Jul 29, 2026 8:01 PM
Will Ethereum reach $4,100 November 3-9? WonNoCrypto	99.7¢ / 100.0¢	$3.75 (0.2%)	$2.26K · 2	$2.26K · 6	$0	Nov 10, 2025 7:13 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November? WonNoCrypto	95.9¢ / 100.0¢	$3.52 (3.5%)	$99.3 · 1	$103 · 1	$0	Dec 1, 2025 7:24 AM
Will the price of XRP be above $3.20 on November 3? WonNoCrypto	99.4¢ / 100.0¢	$3.11 (0.5%)	$687 · 1	$690 · 5	$0	Nov 3, 2025 7:20 PM
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 5? WonNoCrypto	99.5¢ / 100.0¢	$3.05 (0.2%)	$1.52K · 1	$1.52K · 2	$0	Nov 5, 2025 7:04 PM
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of February? WonNoFinance	98.8¢ / 100.0¢	$3.03 (1.0%)	$299 · 1	$302 · 1	$0	Feb 28, 2026 9:09 AM
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June? WonNoFinance	98.8¢ / 100.0¢	$2.96 (1.0%)	$308 · 1	$311 · 1	$0	Jul 1, 2026 7:15 AM
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 November 3-9? WonNoCrypto	99.8¢ / 100.0¢	$2.87 (0.2%)	$1.25K · 2	$0	$0	Nov 10, 2025 8:52 AM
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of February? WonNoFinance	93.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.75 (5.4%)	$51.1 · 1	$53.9 · 1	$0	Feb 28, 2026 9:12 AM

					Merge
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026… NoPolitics 493.31 shares	96.6¢ / 97.7¢	$5.65 (1.2%)	$475 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 11:24 PM
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? NoTech 317.78 shares	96.2¢ / 96.4¢	$0.78 (0.3%)	$305 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 8:53 PM
Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October? NoCryptoRedeemable 0.10 shares	99.2¢ / 100.0¢	$9.79 (0.7%)	$1.39K · 1	$1.4K · 15	$0	Nov 1, 2025 6:16 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? WonYesPolitics	88.0¢ / 100.0¢	$143 (13.4%)	$1.07K · 1	$1.21K · 5	$0	Jan 28, 2026 10:53 PM
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? WonNoPolitics	89.0¢ / 100.0¢	$40 (11.2%)	$356 · 1	$396 · 1	$0	Dec 10, 2025 10:18 PM
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 3… WonYesFinance	96.4¢ / 100.0¢	$24.9 (3.5%)	$704 · 4	$729 · 3	$0	Apr 1, 2026 1:49 AM
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? WonNoCrypto	95.8¢ / 100.0¢	$23 (4.2%)	$549 · 1	$572 · 4	$0	Jan 1, 2026 7:19 AM
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	78.0¢ / 100.0¢	$14.6 (28.2%)	$51.6 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 2, 2026 8:09 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November? WonNoCrypto	97.4¢ / 100.0¢	$10.5 (2.0%)	$539 · 1	$549 · 1	$0	Dec 1, 2025 7:30 AM
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin… WonYesPolitics	95.9¢ / 100.0¢	$9.25 (3.1%)	$296 · 1	$306 · 1	$0	Jul 29, 2026 8:06 PM
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February? WonNoFinance	97.0¢ / 100.0¢	$8.07 (2.3%)	$356 · 1	$364 · 1	$0	Feb 28, 2026 9:11 AM
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? WonNoTech	96.1¢ / 100.0¢	$6.02 (4.1%)	$148 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 1, 2026 8:36 AM
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 3… WonYesFinance	95.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6 (4.2%)	$143 · 1	$149 · 1	$0	Apr 30, 2026 10:27 PM
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,400 by end of February? WonNoFinance	84.8¢ / 100.0¢	$5.56 (13.4%)	$41.4 · 1	$47 · 1	$0	Feb 28, 2026 9:12 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November? WonNoCrypto	98.9¢ / 100.0¢	$5 (1.0%)	$495 · 2	$500 · 1	$0	Dec 1, 2025 7:29 AM
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 mee… WonNoPolitics	99.2¢ / 100.0¢	$4.81 (0.5%)	$997 · 2	$1K · 2	$0	Mar 18, 2026 9:19 PM
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? WonNoTech	96.6¢ / 99.8¢	$4.79 (3.1%)	$157 · 2	$162 · 3	$0	Jul 29, 2026 11:14 PM
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June? WonNoFinance	98.8¢ / 100.0¢	$4.72 (1.1%)	$444 · 1	$449 · 1	$0	Jul 1, 2026 7:15 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? WonNoCrypto	98.9¢ / 100.0¢	$4 (1.0%)	$396 · 1	$400 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 7:19 AM
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti… WonNoPolitics	98.7¢ / 100.0¢	$3.78 (0.8%)	$449 · 1	$453 · 2	$0	Jul 29, 2026 8:01 PM
Will Ethereum reach $4,100 November 3-9? WonNoCrypto	99.7¢ / 100.0¢	$3.75 (0.2%)	$2.26K · 2	$2.26K · 6	$0	Nov 10, 2025 7:13 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November? WonNoCrypto	95.9¢ / 100.0¢	$3.52 (3.5%)	$99.3 · 1	$103 · 1	$0	Dec 1, 2025 7:24 AM
Will the price of XRP be above $3.20 on November 3? WonNoCrypto	99.4¢ / 100.0¢	$3.11 (0.5%)	$687 · 1	$690 · 5	$0	Nov 3, 2025 7:20 PM
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 5? WonNoCrypto	99.5¢ / 100.0¢	$3.05 (0.2%)	$1.52K · 1	$1.52K · 2	$0	Nov 5, 2025 7:04 PM
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of February? WonNoFinance	98.8¢ / 100.0¢	$3.03 (1.0%)	$299 · 1	$302 · 1	$0	Feb 28, 2026 9:09 AM
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June? WonNoFinance	98.8¢ / 100.0¢	$2.96 (1.0%)	$308 · 1	$311 · 1	$0	Jul 1, 2026 7:15 AM
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 November 3-9? WonNoCrypto	99.8¢ / 100.0¢	$2.87 (0.2%)	$1.25K · 2	$0	$0	Nov 10, 2025 8:52 AM
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of February? WonNoFinance	93.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.75 (5.4%)	$51.1 · 1	$53.9 · 1	$0	Feb 28, 2026 9:12 AM

samrag Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$4.94

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.94

Open$337

High$343

Low$334

Close$342

Open positions3

USD balance$157

2$0.73

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.73

Open$342

High$344

Low$340

Close$343

Open positions3

USD balance$157

3-$0.65

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.65

Open$343

High$344

Low$340

Close$342

Open positions4

USD balance$0.55

4-$1.57

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.57

Open$342

High$344

Low$340

Close$341

Open positions4

USD balance$0.55

5$1.45

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.45

Open$341

High$344

Low$339

Close$342

Open positions4

USD balance$0.55

6-$0.85

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.85

Open$342

High$344

Low$338

Close$342

Open positions4

USD balance$0.55

7-$1.95

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.95

Open$342

High$343

Low$337

Close$340

Open positions4

USD balance$0.55

8$0.2

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.2

Open$340

High$342

Low$336

Close$340

Open positions3

USD balance$453

9$2.05

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.05

Open$340

High$343

Low$336

Close$342

Open positions3

USD balance$453

10$4.01

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.01

Open$342

High$346

Low$341

Close$346

Open positions3

USD balance$477

11-$2.6

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.6

Open$346

High$346

Low$341

Close$343

Open positions4

USD balance$0

12$0.86

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.86

Open$343

High$345

Low$341

Close$344

Open positions4

USD balance$0

13$2.36

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.36

Open$344

High$346

Low$342

Close$346

Open positions4

USD balance$0

14-$1.38

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.38

Open$346

High$347

Low$343

Close$345

Open positions3

USD balance$158

15-$0.99

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.99

Open$345

High$346

Low$341

Close$344

Open positions3

USD balance$158

16$0.63

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.63

Open$344

High$345

Low$342

Close$345

Open positions2

USD balance$296

17-$3.17

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$3.17

Open$345

High$345

Low$339

Close$342

Open positions3

USD balance$0

18$2.82

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.82

Open$342

High$344

Low$337

Close$344

Open positions3

USD balance$0

19-$8.88

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

-$8.88

Open$344

High$344

Low$334

Close$336

Open positions3

USD balance$0

20$1.97

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.97

Open$336

High$343

Low$322

Close$337

Open positions3

USD balance$0

21-$19.9

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

-$19.9

Open$337

High$343

Low$300

Close$318

Open positions3

USD balance$0

22-$26.8

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

-$26.8

Open$318

High$321

Low$281

Close$291

Open positions3

USD balance$0

23-$14.3

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

-$14.3

Open$291

High$294

Low$269

Close$276

Open positions3

USD balance$0

24$0.37

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.37

Open$276

High$293

Low$267

Close$277

Open positions3

USD balance$0

25$11.5

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

$11.5

Open$277

High$291

Low$272

Close$288

Open positions3

USD balance$0

26$6.93

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

$6.93

Open$288

High$307

Low$286

Close$295

Open positions3

USD balance$0

27-$27.4

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

-$27.4

Open$295

High$298

Low$265

Close$268

Open positions3

USD balance$0

28$16

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

$16

Open$268

High$304

Low$259

Close$284

Open positions3

USD balance$0

29$79.3

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

$79.3

Open$284

High$365

Low$266

Close$363

Open positions3

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $79.37D $82.730D $25.7

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

98.4%

Profit Factor

11.19x

Avg Win

$6.15

Avg Loss

-$34.1

Total Wins

$381

Total Losses

-$34.1

Avg. Hold Time

15d 44m 40s

Best Win

$143

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Worst Loss

-$34.1

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Period

Best Period

$97, Jan 3 – Jan 9

Worst Period

-$67.6, Jul 18 – Jul 24

Longest Streak

11d W / 5d L

Current Streak

2d W

Max Drawdown

-$78.6 (-22.7%)

Current DD

$0 (0.0%)

Max Runup

$371 (4672.3%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

samrag

Analytics

Analytics

samrag

samrag

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

samrag

Trader DNA

Trader DNA