karlfarngs -$3.55K PnL

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? YesPolitics 209.10 shares	47.8¢ / 18.0¢	-$62.4 (-62.4%)	$100 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 8:01 PM
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesPolitics 728.55 shares	34.7¢ / 23.2¢	-$18.7 (-4.6%)	$402 · 8	$214 · 1	$0	Jun 13, 2026 7:43 PM
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? YesPolitics 526.32 shares	19.0¢ / 14.4¢	-$24.2 (-24.2%)	$100 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 6:58 PM
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? YesFinanceRedeemable 135.14 shares	74.0¢ / 100.0¢	$35.1 (35.1%)	$100 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 12, 2026 10:15 PM
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? NoPoliticsRedeemable 217.39 shares	46.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0 (117.4%)	$100 · 1	$0	$0	May 2, 2026 6:13 AM
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? YesPoliticsRedeemable 109.89 shares	91.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0 (9.9%)	$100 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 18, 2026 9:07 PM
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? YesCultureRedeemable 144.93 shares	69.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0 (44.9%)	$100 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 16, 2026 6:42 AM
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman? YesPoliticsRedeemable 125.00 shares	80.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0 (25.0%)	$100 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 10, 2026 2:28 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Elon tweet between 220 and 239 times September 5–12? WonYesMentions	18.7¢ / 100.0¢	$434 (434.2%)	$100 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 13, 2025 10:15 AM
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 22–August 29? WonYesMentions	23.0¢ / 100.0¢	$335 (334.8%)	$100 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 6, 2025 11:07 AM
Will Elon tweet 470 or more times August 8–August 15? WonYesMentions	25.5¢ / 100.0¢	$292 (292.2%)	$100 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 6, 2025 11:07 AM
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series? WonYesSports	22.4¢ / 100.0¢	$199 (199.1%)	$100 · 1	$299 · 1	$0	Nov 2, 2025 7:48 AM
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? WonYesPolitics	76.5¢ / 100.0¢	$176 (30.8%)	$573 · 2	$0	$0	Sep 18, 2025 7:40 PM
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31? WonYesPolitics	77.4¢ / 100.0¢	$146 (29.2%)	$500 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 6, 2025 11:07 AM
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31? WonNoCrypto	80.0¢ / 99.7¢	$92 (23.0%)	$400 · 4	$492 · 1	$0	Dec 15, 2025 6:21 PM
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31? WonNoPolitics	91.2¢ / 100.0¢	$85.1 (7.7%)	$1.1K · 1	$1.19K · 1	$0	Sep 1, 2025 6:09 AM
Nothing Ever Happens: November WonYesPolitics	74.0¢ / 100.0¢	$70.3 (35.1%)	$200 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 11, 2025 11:40 PM
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 7+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23? WonYesMentions	59.5¢ / 100.0¢	$68.2 (68.2%)	$100 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 24, 2025 10:19 AM
Will Trump say "Kyiv" during conference with Putin on August 15? WonNoMentions	60.2¢ / 100.0¢	$66 (66.0%)	$100 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 6, 2025 11:07 AM
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31? WonNoCrypto	77.0¢ / 100.0¢	$56.1 (28.1%)	$200 · 2	$256 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 7:15 AM
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025? WonYesMentions	16.6¢ / 0.0¢	$50.4 (50.4%)	$100 · 1	$150 · 1	$0	Sep 26, 2025 7:17 PM
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? WonYesPolitics	85.7¢ / 100.0¢	$50.2 (16.7%)	$300 · 2	$0	$0	Nov 24, 2025 12:27 PM
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 WonYesPolitics	83.0¢ / 100.0¢	$41 (20.5%)	$200 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 24, 2025 12:27 PM
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? WonYesPolitics	63.0¢ / 100.0¢	$37 (58.7%)	$63 · 2	$0	$0	Nov 24, 2025 12:27 PM
Will Trump say "Crime" 10+ times during the DC Crime Press Conference? WonYesMentions	73.0¢ / 100.0¢	$36.4 (36.4%)	$100 · 1	$136 · 1	$0	Aug 11, 2025 6:06 PM
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? WonNoPolitics	58.0¢ / 100.0¢	$32.8 (32.8%)	$100 · 1	$133 · 1	$0	Sep 29, 2025 9:19 PM
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025? WonYesMentions	46.9¢ / 100.0¢	$31.9 (113.2%)	$28.1 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 22, 2025 12:37 PM
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? WonNoPolitics	81.0¢ / 100.0¢	$29.6 (14.8%)	$200 · 1	$230 · 1	$0	Nov 1, 2025 6:20 AM
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? WonYesPolitics	78.0¢ / 100.0¢	$28.2 (28.2%)	$100 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 30, 2026 6:06 PM
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok? WonYesFinance	88.0¢ / 100.0¢	$27.3 (13.6%)	$200 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 2, 2026 2:14 PM
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? WonNoPolitics	78.0¢ / 100.0¢	$23.1 (11.5%)	$200 · 1	$223 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:52 AM
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine? WonNoPolitics	74.0¢ / 100.0¢	$22.7 (22.7%)	$100 · 1	$123 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:37 AM
Will Trump say "Zelensky" during conference with Putin on August 15? WonYesMentions	85.0¢ / 100.0¢	$17.6 (17.6%)	$100 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 6, 2025 11:07 AM

karlfarngs -$3.55K PnL · Polymarket

PnL Calendar

June 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1-$18.8

Jun 1, 2026

Daily PnL

-$18.8

Open-$3.54K

High-$3.53K

Low-$3.56K

Close-$3.56K

Open positions8

USD balance$0

2$5.95

Jun 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$5.95

Open-$3.56K

High-$3.54K

Low-$3.56K

Close-$3.55K

Open positions8

USD balance$1.05K

3-$5.73

Jun 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$5.73

Open-$3.55K

High-$3.55K

Low-$3.56K

Close-$3.56K

Open positions8

USD balance$1.05K

4$9.65

Jun 4, 2026

Daily PnL

$9.65

Open-$3.56K

High-$3.55K

Low-$3.57K

Close-$3.55K

Open positions8

USD balance$1.05K

5-$4.06

Jun 5, 2026

Daily PnL

-$4.06

Open-$3.55K

High-$3.54K

Low-$3.56K

Close-$3.55K

Open positions8

USD balance$0

6$3.04

Jun 6, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.04

Open-$3.55K

High-$3.55K

Low-$3.57K

Close-$3.55K

Open positions8

USD balance$1.05K

7-$4.63

Jun 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$4.63

Open-$3.55K

High-$3.55K

Low-$3.57K

Close-$3.56K

Open positions8

USD balance$1.05K

8-$2.97

Jun 8, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.97

Open-$3.56K

High-$3.55K

Low-$3.57K

Close-$3.56K

Open positions8

USD balance$1.05K

9$2.11

Jun 9, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.11

Open-$3.56K

High-$3.55K

Low-$3.57K

Close-$3.56K

Open positions8

USD balance$1.05K

10$0.78

Jun 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.78

Open-$3.56K

High-$3.56K

Low-$3.58K

Close-$3.56K

Open positions8

USD balance$1.05K

11-$0.74

Jun 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.74

Open-$3.56K

High-$3.56K

Low-$3.57K

Close-$3.56K

Open positions8

USD balance$0

12-$4.1

Jun 12, 2026

Daily PnL

-$4.1

Open-$3.56K

High-$3.55K

Low-$3.57K

Close-$3.56K

Open positions8

USD balance$0

13$7.9

Jun 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$7.9

Open-$3.56K

High-$3.55K

Low-$3.57K

Close-$3.55K

Open positions8

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $4.427D $1.6930D -$20.9

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

77.8%

Profit Factor

3.70x

Avg Win

$85.4

Avg Loss

-$80.8

Total Wins

$2.39K

Total Losses

-$646

Avg. Hold Time

39d 12h 51m 29s

Best Win

$434

Will Elon tweet between 220 and 239 times September 5–12?

Worst Loss

-$500

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Period

Best Period

$517, Aug 27 – Sep 2

Worst Period

-$1.69K, Feb 4 – Feb 10

Longest Streak

9d W / 7d L

Current Streak

1d W

Max Drawdown

-$3.49K (-2222.3%)

Current DD

-$3.4K (-2159.6%)

Max Runup

$728 (64.0%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

$9.89(274)

karlfarngs

Analytics

Analytics

karlfarngs

karlfarngs

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

karlfarngs

Trader DNA

Trader DNA